College Basketball · Mountain West
AccuScore projects UNLV to finish 17.5–12.5 with a 17% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 17.3% | |
| Play in the First Round | 14.5% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 5.2% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 1.5% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.5% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.2% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.1% | |
| Win the national title | 0.0% |
Likeliest seed lines: 12 (3%), 13 (3%), 11 (2%), 14 (2%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northern Arizona | W 89–77 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | 23.7–7.3 | 44% | 60% |
| Nevada | 22.9–8.1 | 32% | 49% |
| Grand Canyon | 20.2–9.8 | 19% | 30% |
| UNLV | 17.5–12.5 | 10% | 17% |
| Wyoming | 16.7–14.3 | 6% | 11% |
| Hawai'i | 15.3–12.7 | 4% |
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| 8% |
| UC Davis | 12.6–17.4 | 1% | 2% |
| San José State | 12.4–17.6 | 1% | 2% |
| UTEP | 10.6–16.4 | 1% | 2% |
| Air Force | 5.6–25.4 | 0% | 0% |