College Basketball · Colonial Athletic
AccuScore projects UNC Wilmington to finish 18.1–11.9 with a 15% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 14.6% | |
| Play in the First Round | 12.0% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 2.6% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 0.7% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.2% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.1% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.0% | |
| Win the national title | — |
Likeliest seed lines: 15 (3%), 14 (3%), 13 (2%), 12 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hofstra | 20.1–9.9 | 31% | 33% |
| UNC Wilmington | 18.1–11.9 | 14% | 15% |
| Charleston | 16.6–11.4 | 18% | 17% |
| Monmouth | 15.9–16.1 | 12% | 11% |
| Towson | 15.7–13.3 | 13% | 13% |
| Drexel | 15.4–14.6 | 8% |
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| Campbell | 15.0–17.0 | 9% | 8% |
| Stony Brook | 14.6–14.4 | 6% | 6% |
| Elon | 13.2–16.8 | 4% | 4% |
| William & Mary | 11.1–17.9 | 3% | 3% |
| Northeastern | 10.7–21.3 | 2% | 3% |
| Hampton | 10.3–18.7 | 2% | 2% |
| North Carolina A&T | 10.0–18.0 | 1% | 1% |