College Basketball · America East
AccuScore projects UMBC to finish 17.0–12.0 with a 24% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 24.1% | |
| Play in the First Round | 16.2% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 1.3% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 0.4% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.1% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.0% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.0% | |
| Win the national title | — |
Likeliest seed lines: 16 (10%), 15 (8%), 14 (3%), 13 (1%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at George Mason | L 54–82 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont | 17.7–12.3 | 38% | 30% |
| UMBC | 17.0–12.0 | 30% | 24% |
| UMass Lowell | 16.5–12.5 | 25% | 21% |
| New Hampshire | 12.4–18.6 | 5% | 5% |
| UAlbany | 12.2–18.8 | 5% | 4% |
| Bryant | 11.8–18.2 | 7% |
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| Maine | 11.6–19.4 | 5% | 5% |
| Binghamton | 9.7–18.3 | 3% | 3% |
| NJIT | 9.4–21.6 | 3% | 3% |