College Basketball · Ohio Valley
AccuScore projects Tennessee State to finish 12.6–11.4 with an 18% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 17.5% | |
| Play in the First Round | 9.8% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 0.4% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 0.1% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.0% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.0% | |
| Reach the Championship | — | |
| Win the national title | — |
Likeliest seed lines: 16 (11%), 15 (5%), 14 (1%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Murray State | L 64–94 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU Edwardsville | 15.0–12.0 | 24% | 19% |
| Southeast Missouri State | 13.9–13.1 | 20% | 16% |
| Morehead State | 13.3–14.7 | 16% | 14% |
| UT Martin | 12.6–13.4 | 20% | 16% |
| Tennessee State | 12.6–11.4 | 23% | 18% |
| Lindenwood | 10.8–16.2 |
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| 8% |
| Southern Indiana | 10.0–17.0 | 6% | 5% |
| Eastern Illinois | 9.1–18.9 | 4% | 4% |
| Western Illinois | 5.6–21.4 | 1% | 1% |