College Basketball · Summit League
AccuScore projects St. Thomas to finish 19.4–9.6 with a 32% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 32.3% | |
| Play in the First Round | 24.7% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 3.7% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 1.1% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.2% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.0% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.0% | |
| Win the national title | 0.0% |
Likeliest seed lines: 15 (9%), 16 (8%), 14 (6%), 13 (4%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Presbyterian | W 87–78 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas | 19.4–9.6 | 40% | 32% |
| North Dakota State | 17.4–11.6 | 36% | 31% |
| South Dakota State | 15.5–11.5 | 23% | 19% |
| South Dakota | 11.6–16.4 | 6% | 5% |
| North Dakota | 9.9–18.1 | 6% | 6% |
| Omaha | 8.7–17.3 | 4% |
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| 4% |
| Kansas City | 8.1–19.9 | 1% | 2% |
| Oral Roberts | 7.9–18.1 | 4% | 4% |