College Basketball · Big Sky
AccuScore projects Montana State to finish 15.2–13.8 with a 15% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 15.0% | |
| Play in the First Round | 11.4% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 1.8% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 0.5% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.1% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.0% | |
| Reach the Championship | — | |
| Win the national title | — |
Likeliest seed lines: 15 (5%), 16 (3%), 14 (3%), 13 (2%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Colorado State | L 74–84 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado | 16.0–11.0 | 26% | 22% |
| Montana State | 15.2–13.8 | 17% | 15% |
| Eastern Washington | 14.5–14.5 | 16% | 14% |
| Southern Utah | 14.1–14.9 | 14% | 12% |
| Idaho | 13.9–14.1 | 11% | 10% |
| Portland State | 13.6–14.4 | 14% |
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| 12% |
| Montana | 13.0–16.0 | 8% | 8% |
| Utah Tech | 11.9–17.1 | 7% | 7% |
| Weber State | 11.0–19.0 | 4% | 4% |
| Idaho State | 9.4–19.6 | 2% | 2% |
| Northern Arizona | 7.2–20.8 | 1% | 2% |