College Basketball · Atlantic Coast
AccuScore projects Miami to finish 18.7–11.3 with a 48% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.3% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 48.1% | |
| Play in the First Round | 41.2% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 23.1% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 9.4% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 3.8% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 1.5% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.7% | |
| Win the national title | 0.3% |
Likeliest seed lines: 12 (6%), 11 (6%), 10 (4%), 9 (4%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida | L 67–77 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 26.8–5.2 | 60% | 98% |
| Virginia | 21.4–9.6 | 12% | 73% |
| North Carolina | 20.3–11.7 | 8% | 62% |
| NC State | 20.2–10.8 | 5% | 50% |
| Florida State | 20.0–12.0 | 5% | 50% |
| SMU | 19.8–12.2 |
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| 38% |
| Clemson | 19.3–10.7 | 7% | 52% |
| Virginia Tech | 18.9–13.1 | 4% | 35% |
| Miami | 18.7–11.3 | 5% | 48% |
| Louisville | 18.0–11.0 | 7% | 60% |
| Stanford | 17.6–13.4 | 2% | 26% |
| Wake Forest | 17.0–14.0 | 2% | 25% |
| Pittsburgh | 17.0–14.0 | 2% | 27% |
| Syracuse | 16.7–15.3 | 1% | 17% |
| Notre Dame | 14.9–14.1 | 1% | 16% |
| Boston College | 13.9–18.1 | 0% | 7% |
| California | 13.2–17.8 | 0% | 8% |
| Georgia Tech | 13.0–19.0 | 0% | 6% |