College Basketball · Big 12
AccuScore projects Kansas to finish 20.2–9.8 with an 81% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 1.2% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 81.1% | |
| Play in the First Round | 75.7% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 52.2% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 28.3% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 14.0% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 6.6% | |
| Reach the Championship | 2.9% | |
| Win the national title | 1.2% |
Likeliest seed lines: 3 (9%), 4 (9%), 2 (9%), 5 (8%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Fordham | W 95–65 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 25.2–4.8 | 40% | 98% |
| Arizona | 22.3–7.7 | 25% | 94% |
| Iowa State | 21.5–8.5 | 15% | 85% |
| BYU | 20.9–9.1 | 8% | 77% |
| Cincinnati | 20.6–11.4 | 5% | 61% |
| Kansas | 20.2–9.8 | 8% |
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| 81% |
| Texas Tech | 19.8–9.2 | 10% | 80% |
| TCU | 19.7–10.3 | 4% | 59% |
| West Virginia | 18.1–11.9 | 3% | 54% |
| Baylor | 17.2–11.8 | 3% | 58% |
| Colorado | 17.1–13.9 | 1% | 38% |
| Arizona State | 16.1–15.9 | 1% | 26% |
| Oklahoma State | 15.6–16.4 | 1% | 27% |
| UCF | 14.7–16.3 | 1% | 25% |
| Kansas State | 13.8–16.2 | 1% | 19% |
| Utah | 13.6–18.4 | 0% | 9% |