College Basketball · Big Ten
AccuScore projects Illinois to finish 25.8–6.2 with a 98% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and an 11% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 98.4% | |
| Play in the First Round | 97.6% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 87.7% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 68.0% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 48.0% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 31.1% | |
| Reach the Championship | 17.5% | |
| Win the national title | 10.5% |
Likeliest seed lines: 1 (49%), 2 (17%), 3 (10%), 4 (6%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson | W 120–45 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois | 25.8–6.2 | 30% | 98% |
| Michigan | 23.6–6.4 | 26% | 96% |
| Michigan State | 22.9–9.1 | 12% | 91% |
| Purdue | 22.4–9.6 | 14% | 90% |
| Nebraska | 22.3–9.7 | 7% | 78% |
| UCLA | 21.2–9.8 | 6% |
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| 77% |
| Iowa | 20.1–11.9 | 4% | 67% |
| Wisconsin | 19.3–11.7 | 4% | 70% |
| Indiana | 18.6–13.4 | 2% | 51% |
| Ohio State | 18.5–13.5 | 3% | 64% |
| Northwestern | 17.2–14.8 | 1% | 41% |
| Minnesota | 16.7–15.3 | 1% | 35% |
| USC | 15.8–16.2 | 1% | 30% |
| Maryland | 14.8–15.2 | 1% | 31% |
| Oregon | 14.7–15.3 | 1% | 30% |
| Penn State | 14.4–15.6 | 0% | 17% |
| Washington | 14.3–14.7 | 1% | 32% |
| Rutgers | 13.2–16.8 | 0% | 18% |