College Basketball · Missouri Valley
AccuScore projects Belmont to finish 18.9–11.1 with a 31% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 30.6% | |
| Play in the First Round | 26.2% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 10.7% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 3.4% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 1.1% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.4% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.1% | |
| Win the national title | 0.0% |
Likeliest seed lines: 12 (4%), 13 (4%), 11 (4%), 10 (3%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Southern Indiana | W 72–54 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murray State | 19.4–11.6 | 13% | 21% |
| Belmont | 18.9–11.1 | 20% | 31% |
| Northern Iowa | 18.1–11.9 | 21% | 33% |
| Bradley | 17.5–11.5 | 15% | 23% |
| UIC | 17.2–12.8 | 11% | 16% |
| Drake | 16.8–14.2 | 10% |
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| Southern Illinois | 16.7–12.3 | 11% | 17% |
| Illinois State | 16.5–13.5 | 12% | 20% |
| Valparaiso | 13.1–15.9 | 4% | 6% |
| Indiana State | 11.3–16.7 | 3% | 5% |
| Evansville | 6.3–22.7 | 0% | 0% |