College Basketball · SEC
AccuScore projects Auburn to finish 19.4–10.6 with a 69% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 1.0% chance of winning the national championship. Next: 99% to win at home to SE Louisiana.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 68.7% | |
| Play in the First Round | 62.6% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 41.2% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 21.3% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 9.9% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 4.6% | |
| Reach the Championship | 2.2% | |
| Win the national title | 1.0% |
Likeliest seed lines: 3 (7%), 4 (7%), 6 (6%), 5 (6%).
| Tip-off | Opponent | AUB win | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs SE Louisiana | 99% | 🔒 Pro |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 24.7–5.3 | 36% | 97% |
| Vanderbilt | 23.3–8.7 | 11% | 80% |
| Tennessee | 21.6–8.4 | 17% | 86% |
| Texas | 21.6–9.4 | 10% | 75% |
| Arkansas | 21.5–10.5 | 10% | 77% |
| Kentucky | 20.9–11.1 |
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| 72% |
| Alabama | 20.7–9.3 | 18% | 87% |
| Auburn | 19.4–10.6 | 7% | 69% |
| Texas A&M | 19.3–12.7 | 4% | 52% |
| Oklahoma | 17.6–14.4 | 2% | 39% |
| Ole Miss | 17.4–12.6 | 2% | 43% |
| Missouri | 16.5–15.5 | 2% | 40% |
| Georgia | 16.4–14.6 | 1% | 31% |
| LSU | 15.0–17.0 | 1% | 28% |
| Mississippi State | 14.1–16.9 | 0% | 19% |
| South Carolina | 13.9–18.1 | 0% | 14% |