How often the favourite won, how often the home side won, and how often the total went over — across 4,565 played La Liga games in AccuScore's archive. None of this is our model. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers priced shorter, and the result is the result.
Seasons run August to May. The favourite is the side with the shorter moneyline.
| Season | Games | Favourite won | Home won | Drawn | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 54 | 48.1% | 42.6% | 33.3% | 42.6% |
| 2025-26 | 380 | 53.3% | 48.9% | 24.5% | 41.8% |
| 2024-25 | 380 | 55.7% | 44.5% | 25.5% | 40.5% |
| 2023-24 | 380 | 55.7% | 43.9% | 28.2% | 39.2% |
| 2022-23 | 370 | 55.7% | 48.1% | 22.4% | 41.9% |
| 2021-22 | 379 | 52.5% | 43.5% | 29.0% | 41.7% |
| 2020-21 | 417 | 54.5% | 41.2% | 28.1% | 42.3% |
| 2019-20 | 312 | 51.5% | 46.5% | 29.2% | 45.2% |
Across 4,494 priced La Liga games in AccuScore's archive, the favourite won 54.6% of the time. The favourite is whichever side the bookmakers made shorter, not whichever side we projected.
Home teams won 45.7% of 4,565 games in the archive, with 25.8% drawn.
Of 4,512 games with a posted total, 42.9% went over. A rate near half is what an efficient market looks like — the number is interesting when a season moves away from it.
| 2018-19 | 380 | 48.7% | 44.2% | 28.9% | 41.0% |
| 2017-18 | 380 | 55.8% | 47.1% | 22.6% | 42.4% |
| 2016-17 | 373 | 59.4% | 48.3% | 22.8% | 48.9% |
| 2015-16 | 380 | 56.1% | 48.2% | 24.2% | 45.9% |
| 2014-15 | 380 | 56.7% | 45.0% | 23.9% | 44.7% |