NCAAB
Bethune-Cookman
0-3
San Diego State
2-0
Win Probability
San Diego State hosts Bethune-Cookman in a matchup that heavily favors the home side. AccuScore's simulation leans decisively toward SDSU, projecting a double-digit margin. The Aztecs will look to extend their perfect start while the Wildcats seek their first win; in 8 similar games where the model leaned this strongly, the favored side won every time. For Bethune-Cookman to pull off the upset, it would need to weather early scoring pressure and keep the game close enough to steal a late lead. The gap in record—SDSU unbeaten against BCU winless—underscores how heavily the simulation weights the home team's advantage here.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | SDSU | EV | BCU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -2800 | -0.3% | +1300 | -21.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -4500 | -1.0% | +1600 | -15.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -3000 | -0.5% | +1200 | -23.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -5000 | -1.1% | +1500 | -17.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -4000 | -0.9% | +1800 | -11.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 152.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | -2.8% | -110 | -1.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 152.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | -2.8% | -110 | -1.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 152.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes San Diego State 96% to beat Bethune-Cookman (4%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes San Diego State the more likely winner at 96%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Diego State a 96% chance of beating Bethune-Cookman, against 4% for Bethune-Cookman. San Diego State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Bethune-Cookman (0-3 so far) project to finish 13.1–17.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 22% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
San Diego State (2-0 so far) project to finish 18.2–8.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 48% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bethune-Cookman | 13.1–17.9 | 28% | 22% |
| San Diego State | 18.2–8.8 | 13% | 48% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Bethune-Cookman and San Diego State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Bethune-Cookman have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
San Diego State have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).