NCAAB • Thu, Nov 5, 01:00
Northern Kentucky travels to South Dakota in a matchup where the simulation slightly favors the visiting Coyotes. The game hinges on three-point shooting: if either team's perimeter game flows, the pace quickens and scoring climbs. For South Dakota to pull the upset at home, its defense would need to force enough turnovers to disrupt Northern Kentucky's rhythm and keep the game tight in the final minutes.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Northern Kentucky 60% to beat South Dakota (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Northern Kentucky the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives South Dakota a 40% chance of beating Northern Kentucky, against 60% for Northern Kentucky. South Dakota are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Northern Kentucky (1-0 so far) project to finish 18.3–11.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
South Dakota project to finish 11.6–16.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Kentucky | 18.3–11.7 | 18% | 15% |
| South Dakota | 11.6–16.4 | 6% | 5% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Northern Kentucky and South Dakota come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Northern Kentucky have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).