Cal State Northridge
Wichita State
Win Probability
Cal State Northridge travels to face Wichita State in a matchup the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Shockers' depth will test the Matadors' ability to generate consistent scoring; Wichita State's backcourt will need to control pace and limit turnovers to pull away. AccuScore's model across eight similar games has sided with the favored team in all eight. For Cal State Northridge to stay competitive, forcing defensive breakdowns and capitalizing on transition opportunities becomes essential, since the simulation suggests they will struggle to match Wichita State's offensive consistency.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | WICH | EV | CSUN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1600 | -2.8% | +900 | +5.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1600 | -2.8% | +860 | +3.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1400 | -2.4% | +775 | -1.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -2500 | -3.8% | +1100 | +16.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1400 | -2.4% | +850 | +2.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 161.5 | -105 | -5.6% | -115 | +0.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 160.5 | -115 | -5.0% | -105 | +0.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 161.5 | -105 | -5.6% | -115 | +0.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | 160.5 | -110 | -4.1% | -110 | -0.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 161.5 | -105 | -5.6% | -115 | +0.9% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Wichita State 89% to beat Cal State Northridge (11%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Wichita State the more likely winner at 89%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Wichita State a 89% chance of beating Cal State Northridge, against 11% for Cal State Northridge. Wichita State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Cal State Northridge project to finish 13.8–16.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Wichita State project to finish 19.4–10.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 32% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge | 13.8–16.2 | 5% | 6% |
| Wichita State | 19.4–10.6 | 18% | 32% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →