Utah Mammoth
10-6
Montreal Canadiens
9-3
Win Probability
Utah Mammoth travel to Montreal to face the Canadiens in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the visitors. Clayton Keller projects as the strongest scoring threat on either side, with a 59% chance of recording more than 0.5 points, while Lane Hutson offers Montreal's best offensive upside at 53%. The game turns on whether Utah's depth—Mikhail Sergachev at 55% and Nick Schmaltz at 49%—can sustain pressure against a Montreal roster where Cole Caufield sits at 46%. AccuScore's model has gone 3-for-8 on similar win-probability shapes in other matchups. The Canadiens would need their supporting cast to elevate beyond the projections to overcome the visitors.
| Book | MON | EV | UTA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -112 | -8.4% | -112 | +3.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -105 | -7.0% | -109 | +3.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | -247 | -20.1% | -236 | -9.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth 56% to beat Montreal Canadiens (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Montreal Canadiens a 44% chance of beating Utah Mammoth, against 56% for Utah Mammoth. Montreal Canadiens are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Montreal Canadiens (9-3 so far) project to finish 38.1–43.7 and make the playoffs in 21% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | 38.1–43.7 | <1% | 21% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Utah Mammoth and Montreal Canadiens come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Montreal Canadiens have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Montreal Canadiens are 244-197 as favourite and 280-419 as underdog, and 282-299 at home (49% of 581 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | UTA | MON |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | — | 244-197 |
| As underdog | — | 280-419 |
| At home | — | 282-299 |
| On the road | — | 253-327 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →