NCAAB
Final · SOU 72–85 SMU ·
Southern
72
SMU
85
| Team | H1 | H2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOU | 38 | 34 | 72 |
| SMU | 40 | 45 | 85 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | SMU | EV | SOU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -9000 | -0.7% | +2500 | -17.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -20000 | -1.0% | +3500 | -5.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | -0.8% | +2800 | -13.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -10000 | -0.8% | +3000 | -11.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -8412 | -0.7% | +2171 | -21.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 159.5 | -115 | -6.7% | -105 | +2.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 158.5 | -114 | -4.3% | -106 | -0.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 159.5 | -115 | -6.7% | -105 | +2.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -5.8% | -110 | +1.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 160.5 | -110 | -8.6% | -110 | +4.0% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes SMU 98% to beat Southern (3%). Final score: Southern 72, SMU 85.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes SMU the more likely winner at 98%. The game finished Southern 72, SMU 85.
AccuScore's simulation gives SMU a 98% chance of beating Southern, against 3% for Southern. It finished SMU 85, Southern 72.
Southern (0-1 so far) project to finish 12.7–16.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
SMU (1-0 so far) project to finish 19.8–12.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 38% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →