NCAAB
Final · TOL 70–71 ARST ·
Toledo
70
Arkansas State
71
| Team | H1 | H2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| ARST | 36 | 35 | 71 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | ARST | EV | TOL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -175 | -2.6% | +145 | -1.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -170 | -2.1% | +140 | -2.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | -170 | -2.1% | +143 | -1.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -170 | -2.1% | +145 | -1.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -170 | -2.1% | +140 | -2.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 165.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 165.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 165.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 165.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 165.5 | -110 | -5.6% | -110 | +1.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Arkansas State 60% to beat Toledo (40%). Final score: Toledo 70, Arkansas State 71.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Arkansas State the more likely winner at 60%. The game finished Toledo 70, Arkansas State 71.
AccuScore's simulation gives Arkansas State a 60% chance of beating Toledo, against 40% for Toledo. It finished Arkansas State 71, Toledo 70.
Toledo (0-1 so far) project to finish 17.5–13.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Arkansas State (1-0 so far) project to finish 18.3–10.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 17.5–13.5 | 18% | 19% |
| Arkansas State | 18.3–10.7 | 17% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →