NCAAB
Final · BGSU 76–73 GAST ·
Bowling Green
76
Georgia State
73
| Team | H1 | H2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | 34 | 42 | 76 |
| GAST | 34 | 39 | 73 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | GAST | EV | BGSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -162 | -4.9% | +136 | +2.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -172 | -5.9% | +142 | +3.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -160 | -4.7% | +135 | +1.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | -170 | -5.7% | +143 | +3.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -155 | -4.1% | +135 | +1.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 161.5 | -105 | -11.2% | -115 | +6.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 160.5 | -115 | -10.6% | -105 | +6.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 160.5 | -110 | -9.7% | -110 | +5.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 161 | -110 | -10.9% | -110 | +6.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 160.5 | -120 | -11.3% | +100 | +7.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 44.2%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia State 56% to beat Bowling Green (44%). Final score: Bowling Green 76, Georgia State 73.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia State the more likely winner at 56%. The game finished Bowling Green 76, Georgia State 73.
AccuScore's simulation gives Georgia State a 56% chance of beating Bowling Green, against 44% for Bowling Green. It finished Georgia State 73, Bowling Green 76.
Bowling Green (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.5–12.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Georgia State (0-1 so far) project to finish 10.7–18.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 16.5–12.5 | 7% | 9% |
| Georgia State | 10.7–18.3 | 2% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →