Notre Dame
74
Villanova
72
| Team | H1 | H2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 31 | 43 | 74 |
| VILL | 35 | 37 | 72 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | VILL | EV | ND | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -325 | -3.6% | +260 | +2.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -315 | -3.3% | +250 | +0.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | -320 | -3.5% | +250 | +0.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -340 | -4.1% | +270 | +3.8% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -335 | -4.0% | +255 | +1.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | +4.4% | -110 | -9.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 145.5 | -118 | +2.7% | -104 | -7.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 146 | -110 | +3.5% | -110 | -7.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 144.5 | -120 | +4.5% | +100 | -9.5% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 146.5 | -107 | +3.1% | -117 | -8.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 29.1%
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NCAAB
Final · ND 74–72 VILL ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Villanova 71% to beat Notre Dame (29%). Final score: Notre Dame 74, Villanova 72.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Villanova the more likely winner at 71%. The game finished Notre Dame 74, Villanova 72.
AccuScore's simulation gives Villanova a 71% chance of beating Notre Dame, against 29% for Notre Dame. It finished Villanova 72, Notre Dame 74.
Notre Dame project to finish 14.9–14.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 16% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Villanova project to finish 17.4–12.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 50% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 14.9–14.1 | 1% | 16% |
| Villanova | 17.4–12.6 | 7% | 50% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →