Los Angeles Dodgers
100-62
Atlanta Braves
94-68
Win Probability
Moneyline
LAD
58.2% win prob
Moneyline
ATL
41.8% win prob
Projected score
4.7 – 3.7
The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to Atlanta to face the Atlanta Braves in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. Shohei Ohtani has a 16% chance of a home run, while Max Muncy projects to record a hit in half of his plate appearances—both contributors to a Los Angeles attack that edges the home side's scoring output. The game turns on whether Atlanta can generate enough runs to overcome that offensive gap; across eight comparable situations, the favoured side won three times. AccuScore's historical record on games shaped this way stands at 49% over more than 16,000 games graded in the National League. For the Braves to pull the upset, their lineup would need to outpace both the projection and the visitors' depth.
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers 58% to beat Atlanta Braves (42%). Projected score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4.7, Atlanta Braves 3.7.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Atlanta Braves a 42% chance of beating Los Angeles Dodgers, against 58% for Los Angeles Dodgers. Atlanta Braves are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Los Angeles Dodgers 4.7, Atlanta Braves 3.7.