Atlanta Braves
94-68
Los Angeles Dodgers
100-62
Win Probability
Moneyline
ATL
25.7% win prob
Moneyline
LAD
74.3% win prob
Projected score
3.3 – 5.6
The Atlanta Braves visit the Los Angeles Dodgers in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the home side. Shohei Ohtani has a 17% chance to go deep, while Max Muncy projects to record a hit in 46% of outcomes—modest rates that reflect how scoring will likely come in a tight, low-run affair. The game turns on whether Atlanta can manufacture offense against Los Angeles' pitching; the projected totals suggest runs will be hard to come by. AccuScore's model has returned 49% on similar games shaped this way across 6,350 graded contests. The Braves' path to victory runs through keeping the Dodgers off the board early.
1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection
F5 ATL
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F5 Total
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F5 LAD
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| Book | Line | LAD | EV | ATL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +1.5 | -385 | -13.6% | +284 | +31.1% |
| bet365 ↗ | +1.5 | -400 | -13.9% | +280 | +30.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | +1.5 | -400 | -13.9% | +262 | +26.5% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +1.5 | -400 | -13.9% | +262 | +26.5% |
| Betano ↗ | +1.5 | -357 | -13.0% | +245 | +22.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 7 | -192 | -0.1% | +159 | -4.9% |
| Betfair ↗ | 8.5 | +110 | +1.5% | -133 | -5.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | 7 | -182 | +0.8% | +135 | -8.7% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 7.5 | -149 | -0.6% | +105 | -8.1% |
| Marathon ↗ | 7 | -204 | -1.0% | +147 | -6.8% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 50.6%
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers 74% to beat Atlanta Braves (26%). Projected score: Atlanta Braves 3.3, Los Angeles Dodgers 5.6.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers the more likely winner at 74%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Dodgers a 74% chance of beating Atlanta Braves, against 26% for Atlanta Braves. Los Angeles Dodgers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Atlanta Braves 3.3, Los Angeles Dodgers 5.6.