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← Today's Edges
MLB•FINALSilver Edge
BurkestartervsstarterBrown
CHW

Chicago White Sox

84-78

7

:
HOU

Houston Astros

81-81

3

Win Probability

Moneyline

CHW

+130

33.1% win prob

EV -11.9%

FanDuel

Moneyline

HOU

-154

66.9% win prob

EV +5.2%

FanDuel

Projected score

3.8 – 5.3

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Run Line (-1.5/+1.5)CHW -1.5
11.5-0.75-13
CHW Cover
24.0%
EV +67.5%
+880FanDuel ↗
HOU Cover
76.0%
EV -9.9%
-1800FanDuel ↗

Odds Comparison

Run Line

BookLineHOUEVCHWEV
FanDuel ↗+1.5-1800-23.1%+880+190.3%

Moneyline

BookHOUEVCHWEV
DraftKings ↗-154+5.2%+128-12.3%
FanDuel ↗-154+5.2%+130-11.9%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
DraftKings ↗7.5-109+5.1%-110-9.4%
FanDuel ↗7.5-108+5.4%-112-9.8%
Team123456789RHE
CHW400003000780
HOU110100000352
Scoring Plays
▲1st

Teel singled to right, Antonacci scored.

CHW

0–1

▲1st

Benintendi singled to center, Teel scored, Vargas to third. Vargas scored on throwing error by center fielder Spence, Benintendi to second.

CHW

0–3

▲1st

Peters singled to right, Benintendi scored.

CHW

0–4

▼1st

Peña homered to left center (395 feet).

HOU

1–4

▼2nd

Smith homered to left (440 feet).

HOU

2–4

▼4th

Altuve homered to left (353 feet).

HOU

3–4

▲6th

Meidroth homered to left (390 feet), Acuña scored and Peters scored.

CHW

3–7

BatterABRHHRRBIBBKAVG
S. AntonacciLF411—001.286
B. DoyleCF101—0001.000
K. TeelC512—103.300
M. Vargas3B510—002.000
M. Murakami1B500—003.125
A. BenintendiDH211—110.333
L. AcunaDH110—000.000
T. PetersLF311—111.286
C. Meidroth2B3121310.571
B. MontgomeryRF400—001.250
C. MontgomerySS300—012.167

Game Info

Venue

Daikin Park, Houston, Texas

Attendance

36,015

Broadcast

PEAC | NBCS

Starting Pitchers

Burke vs Brown

Umpires

Home Plate: Alex TosiFirst Base: Ryan AdditonSecond Base: Alan PorterThird Base: Edwin MoscosoLeft Field: Paul ClemonsRight Field: Alex MacKay

Player Props

HOU CHW
Best prop edge: Colson Montgomery — Hits O0.5+23.8% EV
Sort:

Where to Bet

silver
HOU -0.5+8.1% EV

Win probability: 60.9%

DraftKings
+310Bet →
FanDuel
-110Bet →

MLB

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction

Final · CHW 7–3 HOU · Wed, Sep 30, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Astros 67% to beat Chicago White Sox (33%). Projected score: Chicago White Sox 3.8, Houston Astros 5.3. Final score: Chicago White Sox 7, Houston Astros 3.

Projection updated Oct 1, 7:00 AM ET

Who will win Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros?

AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Astros the more likely winner at 67%. The game finished Chicago White Sox 7, Houston Astros 3.

Will Houston Astros beat Chicago White Sox?

AccuScore's simulation gives Houston Astros a 67% chance of beating Chicago White Sox, against 33% for Chicago White Sox. It finished Houston Astros 3, Chicago White Sox 7.

What is the predicted score for Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros?

AccuScore projects Chicago White Sox 3.8, Houston Astros 5.3.

Chicago White Sox predictions & record →Houston Astros predictions & record →