San Jose Sharks
1-0
Dallas Stars
0-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
SAN
29.0% win prob
Moneyline
DAL
71.0% win prob
Projected score
2.3 – 3.6
When the San Jose Sharks visit the Dallas Stars, the simulation decisively favours the home side. Dallas's model performance leans heavily in its direction across 10,000 iterations. The matchup hinges on Dallas's ability to convert—the Stars' projected offensive output substantially exceeds San Jose's—while the Sharks must generate more secondary scoring than the model expects. AccuScore's record on games shaped like this one shows a 69% win rate across 538 similar fixtures. For San Jose to pull the upset, it would need to flip the scoring advantage and force Dallas into an uncharacteristic shooting slump.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars 71% to beat San Jose Sharks (29%). Projected score: San Jose Sharks 2.3, Dallas Stars 3.6.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars the more likely winner at 71%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Dallas Stars a 71% chance of beating San Jose Sharks, against 29% for San Jose Sharks. Dallas Stars are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects San Jose Sharks 2.3, Dallas Stars 3.6.