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MLB

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Final · NYM 6–7 WAS · Fri, Sep 25, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

← Today's Edges
MLB•FINALSilver Edge
YanstartervsstarterAlvarez
NYM

New York Mets

74-88

6

:
WAS

Washington Nationals

77-85

7

Win Probability

Moneyline

NYM

63.3% win prob

Moneyline

WAS

36.7% win prob

Projected score

4.2 – 2.9

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Run Line (-1.5/+1.5)NYM -1.5
131.5-10
NYM Cover
48.3%
EV +5.1%
+128Pinnacle ↗
WAS Cover
51.7%
EV -4.7%
-1331xBet ↗
Total (Over/Under)O/U 8.5
110.520
Over Cover
33.9%
EV -16.9%
-105bet365 ↗
Under Cover
66.1%
EV +11.5%
-116bet365 ↗

1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection

F5 NYM

—

F5 Total

—

F5 WAS

—

Odds Comparison

Run Line

BookLineWASEVNYMEV
Pinnacle ↗+1.5-145-29.7%+128+36.6%
Betfair ↗+1.5-154-30.2%+125+35.5%
bet365 ↗+1.5-152-30.1%+125+35.5%
BetVictor ↗+1.5-154-30.2%+120+33.6%
Marathon ↗+1.5-145-29.7%+114+31.3%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗8.5-103-16.6%-111+12.8%
Betfair ↗8.5+110-14.4%-133+7.9%
bet365 ↗8.5-105-16.9%-116+11.5%
BetVictor ↗8.5-110-17.6%-118+11.0%
Marathon ↗8.5-109-17.5%-116+11.5%
Team123456789RHE
NYM102020010691
WAS20400010—7110
Scoring Plays
▲1st

Vientos doubled to left, Soto scored, Bichette to third.

NYM

0–1

▼1st

Abrams singled to right, Wood scored and Crews scored.

WAS

2–1

▲3rd

Bichette doubled to right, Lindor scored, Soto to third.

NYM

2–2

▲3rd

Vientos hit sacrifice fly to right, Soto scored, Bichette to third.

NYM

2–3

▼3rd

Chaparro scored on Pintaro wild pitch, House to third on wild pitch by Pintaro.

WAS

3–3

▼3rd

House scored on Pintaro wild pitch.

WAS

4–3

▼3rd

Lile hit sacrifice fly to center, Crews scored, Abrams to third.

WAS

5–3

▼3rd

Ruiz singled to left, Abrams scored.

WAS

6–3

▲5th

Bichette homered to center (427 feet).

NYM

6–4

▲5th

Benge homered to right center (407 feet).

NYM

6–5

▼7th

Crews homered to left (388 feet).

WAS

7–5

▲8th

Alvarez hit sacrifice fly to center, Baty scored.

NYM

7–6

BatterABRHHRRBIBBKAVG
F. LindorSS511—002.224
J. SotoLF422—010.276
B. Bichette3B4121211.261
M. VientosDH201—201.216
B. BatyDH111—000.240
C. BengeRF2121120.277
F. AlvarezC300—102.235
M. Semien2B400—002.214
A.J. EwingCF400—003.253
C. PacheCF000—000.125
C. Morel1B400—001.173

Game Info

Venue

Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia

Attendance

28,639

Broadcast

WPIX | NATV

Starting Pitchers

Yan vs Alvarez

Umpires

Home Plate: Sean BarberFirst Base: Austin JonesSecond Base: Jen PawolThird Base: James Hoye

Player Props

WAS NYM
Best prop edge: A.J. Ewing — Hits O0.5+10.4% EV
Sort:

Where to Bet

silver
Under 8.5+13.9% EV

Win probability: 66.1%

Pinnacle
+107Bet →
SBOBET
+101Bet →
Marathon
-101Bet →
1xBet
-101Bet →
Betano
-114Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes New York Mets 63% to beat Washington Nationals (37%). Projected score: New York Mets 4.2, Washington Nationals 2.9. Final score: New York Mets 6, Washington Nationals 7.

Projection updated Sep 26, 7:00 AM ET

Who will win New York Mets vs Washington Nationals?

AccuScore's simulation makes New York Mets the more likely winner at 63%. The game finished New York Mets 6, Washington Nationals 7.

Will Washington Nationals beat New York Mets?

AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Nationals a 37% chance of beating New York Mets, against 63% for New York Mets. It finished Washington Nationals 7, New York Mets 6.

What is the predicted score for New York Mets vs Washington Nationals?

AccuScore projects New York Mets 4.2, Washington Nationals 2.9.

New York Mets predictions & record →Washington Nationals predictions & record →