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MLB

Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Final · CLE 0–1 BOS · Wed, Sep 23, 2026, 7:10 PM ET

← Today's Edges
MLB•FINALSilver Edge
GriffinstartervsstarterGray
CLE

Cleveland Guardians

85-77

0

:
BOS

Boston Red Sox

87-75

1

Win Probability

Moneyline

CLE

35.1% win prob

Moneyline

BOS

64.9% win prob

Projected score

4.0 – 5.5

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Run Line (-1.5/+1.5)CLE -1.5
10.5-1.75-14
CLE Cover
25.6%
EV -11.8%
+199Pinnacle ↗
BOS Cover
74.4%
EV +2.5%
-244Pinnacle ↗
Total (Over/Under)O/U 7.5
112.524
Over Cover
59.4%
EV +15.4%
+120bet365 ↗
Under Cover
40.6%
EV -17.1%
-161bet365 ↗

1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection

F5 CLE

—

F5 Total

—

F5 BOS

—

Odds Comparison

Run Line

BookLineBOSEVCLEEV
Pinnacle ↗+1.5-244-13.8%+199+22.7%
bet365 ↗+1.5-250-14.1%+182+18.6%
Marathon ↗+1.5-270-14.8%+189+20.3%
1xBet ↗+1.5-270-14.8%+189+20.3%
Betano ↗+1.5-256-14.3%+187+19.8%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗7.5+148+23.7%-172-17.9%
Betfair ↗7.5-105+8.0%-118-12.5%
bet365 ↗7.5+120+15.4%-161-17.1%
BetVictor ↗7.5+138+20.7%-175-18.1%
Marathon ↗7.5+133+19.2%-179-18.4%
Team123456789RHE
CLE000000000051
BOS00000100—1120
Scoring Plays
▼6th

Monasterio singled to left, Duran scored.

BOS

1–0

BatterABRHHRRBIBBKAVG
S. KwanLF402—000.282
J. Ramirez3B300—010.235
C. DeLauterDH400—001.290
J. AdellRF300—011.240
T. Bazzana2B200—012.245
A. MartinezPH100—001.258
N. Lowe1B300—001.251
A. GenaoPH100—001.211
P. BaileyC301—001.207
P. HalpinCF301—001.224
B. RocchioSS301—000.250

Game Info

Venue

Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

Attendance

36,360

Broadcast

ESPN

Starting Pitchers

Griffin vs Gray

Umpires

Home Plate: Paul ClemonsFirst Base: Quinn WolcottSecond Base: Adrian JohnsonThird Base: Ramon De Jesus

Player Props

BOS CLE
Sort:

Where to Bet

silver
BOS -1.5+7.1% EV

Win probability: 42.2%

Pinnacle
+199Bet →
Marathon
+189Bet →
1xBet
+189Bet →
Betano
+187Bet →
bet365
+182Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Red Sox 65% to beat Cleveland Guardians (35%). Projected score: Cleveland Guardians 4.0, Boston Red Sox 5.5. Final score: Cleveland Guardians 0, Boston Red Sox 1.

Projection updated Sep 24, 8:00 AM ET

Who will win Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox?

AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Red Sox the more likely winner at 65%. The game finished Cleveland Guardians 0, Boston Red Sox 1.

Will Boston Red Sox beat Cleveland Guardians?

AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Red Sox a 65% chance of beating Cleveland Guardians, against 35% for Cleveland Guardians. It finished Boston Red Sox 1, Cleveland Guardians 0.

What is the predicted score for Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox?

AccuScore projects Cleveland Guardians 4.0, Boston Red Sox 5.5.

Cleveland Guardians predictions & record →Boston Red Sox predictions & record →