Porto
Real Betis
Win Probability
Projected score
1.2 – 1.9
Porto travels to Real Betis in a Champions League fixture where the simulation clearly favours the hosts. The model projects a low-scoring affair, with Real Betis winning most timelines, though the most likely outcome remains a 1–2 scoreline in their favour. On games shaped like this one—where the home side carries a decisive but not overwhelming lean—AccuScore's historical record stands at 3 wins across 8 comparable matchups. Porto would need to break through despite the projection favouring Betis' attack, a task that hinges on whether the away side can generate chances against a setup the simulation expects to control possession and tempo.
| Book | Line | BET | EV | POR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 ↗ | — | — | — | — | — |
| Book | BET | EV | POR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +122 | +7.7% | +206 | -15.6% |
| Betfair ↗ | +110 | +4.6% | +220 | -14.0% |
| bet365 ↗ | +110 | +4.6% | +210 | -15.1% |
| William Hill ↗ | +115 | +5.9% | +210 | -15.1% |
| BetVictor ↗ | +115 | +5.9% | +210 | -15.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2.5 | -139 | +2.2% | +113 | -8.2% |
| Betfair ↗ | 2.5 | -154 | +0.1% | +110 | -8.8% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -137 | +2.5% | +110 | -8.8% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.5 | -149 | +0.8% | +104 | -10.0% |
| Marathon ↗ | 2.5 | -137 | +2.5% | +114 | -8.0% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 52.0%
Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Betis 52% to win, Porto 23%, with a 26% chance of a draw. Projected score: Porto 1.2, Real Betis 1.9. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% of simulations).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Betis the more likely winner at 52%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Real Betis a 52% chance of beating Porto, with 23% for Porto and 26% for a draw. Real Betis are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Porto 1.2, Real Betis 1.9, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.