Champions League • Wed, Oct 14, 19:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Aston Villa 72% to win, Fenerbahçe 9%, with a 19% chance of a draw. Projected score: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Aston Villa 2.5. The single most likely scoreline is 0–2 (12% of simulations).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Aston Villa the more likely winner at 72%, with a 19% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Aston Villa a 72% chance of beating Fenerbahçe, with 9% for Fenerbahçe and 19% for a draw. Aston Villa are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Fenerbahçe 0.8, Aston Villa 2.5, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline.