Champions League • Tue, Oct 13, 19:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid 43% to win, Manchester United 34%, with a 24% chance of a draw. Projected score: Manchester United 1.7, Atlético Madrid 1.9. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% of simulations).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid the more likely winner at 43%, with a 24% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Atlético Madrid a 43% chance of beating Manchester United, with 34% for Manchester United and 24% for a draw. Atlético Madrid are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Manchester United 1.7, Atlético Madrid 1.9, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.