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← Today's Edges
MLB•FINALSilver Edge
KaystartervsstarterLynch IV
CHW

Chicago White Sox

84-78

14

:
KC

Kansas City Royals

69-93

11

Win Probability

Moneyline

CHW

42.6% win prob

Moneyline

KC

57.4% win prob

Projected score

3.4 – 3.9

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Run Line (-1.5/+1.5)CHW -1.5
11.50.25-11
CHW Cover
30.8%
EV -11.7%
+149Pinnacle ↗
KC Cover
69.2%
EV +7.4%
-1521xBet ↗
Total (Over/Under)O/U 6.5
11121
Over Cover
53.0%
EV -14.2%
-286bet365 ↗
Under Cover
47.0%
EV +20.9%
+202bet365 ↗

1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection

F5 CHW

—

F5 Total

—

F5 KC

—

Odds Comparison

Run Line

BookLineKCEVCHWEV
Pinnacle ↗+1.5-169-18.5%+149+25.2%
Betfair ↗+1.5-175-18.9%+140+22.4%
bet365 ↗+1.5-172-18.7%+145+24.0%
BetVictor ↗+1.5-182-19.3%+138+21.8%
Marathon ↗+1.5-167-18.3%+131+19.7%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗6.5-204-10.5%+170+13.4%
Betfair ↗8.5-110-18.4%-110+13.9%
bet365 ↗6.5-286-14.2%+202+20.9%
BetVictor ↗6.5-200-10.2%+155+9.9%
Marathon ↗6.5-217-11.3%+160+11.1%
Team123456789RHE
CHW21330050014130
KC00121003411130
Scoring Plays
▲1st

Meidroth singled to left, Grichuk scored and Pham scored, Murakami to second.

CHW

0–2

▲2nd

Doyle homered to center (414 feet).

CHW

0–3

▲3rd

Meidroth homered to left center (410 feet), Grichuk scored and Murakami scored.

CHW

0–6

▼3rd

Loftin homered to left (384 feet).

KC

1–6

▲4th

Grichuk homered to center (415 feet), Vargas scored and Pham scored.

CHW

1–9

▼4th

Perez singled to left, Garcia scored, Pasquantino to second.

KC

2–9

▼4th

Loftin grounded out to second, Pasquantino scored, Perez to third.

KC

3–9

▼5th

Garcia grounded out to second, Jensen scored, Witt Jr. to second.

KC

4–9

▲7th

Murakami homered to right (373 feet), Grichuk scored.

CHW

4–11

▲7th

Vargas walked, Meidroth scored, B. Montgomery to second, Doyle to third.

CHW

4–12

▲7th

Benintendi singled to center, B. Montgomery scored and Doyle scored, Vargas to third.

CHW

4–14

▼8th

Pasquantino doubled to right, Caglianone scored, Garcia to third. Chicago White Sox challenged: call on the field was upheld.

KC

5–14

▼8th

Rojas hit sacrifice fly to left, Garcia scored.

KC

6–14

▼8th

Massey hit a ground rule double, Pasquantino scored.

KC

7–14

▼9th

Pasquantino homered to right center (412 feet), Tolbert scored, Caglianone scored and Garcia scored.

KC

11–14

BatterABRHHRRBIBBKAVG
M. Vargas3B411—110.251
L. AcunaSS100—001.225
T. PhamDH120—020.125
A. BenintendiDH201—201.243
R. GrichukLF5441301.292
M. Murakami1B3211211.203
C. Meidroth2B4231510.271
K. TeelC400—012.178
B. DoyleCF5221101.233
C. Montgomery3B500—003.203
B. MontgomeryRF411—001.212
T. PetersRF100—001.271

Game Info

Venue

Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Attendance

15,785

Broadcast

RYTV | CHSN

Starting Pitchers

Kay vs Lynch IV

Umpires

Home Plate: Adam HamariFirst Base: Clint VondrakSecond Base: Todd TichenorThird Base: Cory Blaser

Player Props

KC CHW
Sort:

Where to Bet

silver
Under 8.5+15.3% EV

Win probability: 66.9%

Pinnacle
+108Bet →
Marathon
+102Bet →
1xBet
+102Bet →
bet365
+100Bet →
SBOBET
-101Bet →

MLB

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

Final · CHW 14–11 KC · Tue, Sep 22, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas City Royals 57% to beat Chicago White Sox (43%). Projected score: Chicago White Sox 3.4, Kansas City Royals 3.9. Final score: Chicago White Sox 14, Kansas City Royals 11.

Projection updated Sep 23, 6:00 AM ET

Who will win Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals?

AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas City Royals the more likely winner at 57%. The game finished Chicago White Sox 14, Kansas City Royals 11.

Will Kansas City Royals beat Chicago White Sox?

AccuScore's simulation gives Kansas City Royals a 57% chance of beating Chicago White Sox, against 43% for Chicago White Sox. It finished Kansas City Royals 11, Chicago White Sox 14.

What is the predicted score for Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals?

AccuScore projects Chicago White Sox 3.4, Kansas City Royals 3.9.

Chicago White Sox predictions & record →Kansas City Royals predictions & record →