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MLB

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction

Final · BAL 7–1 NYM · Wed, Sep 16, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
MLB•FINALSilver Edge
BassittstartervsstarterCurry
BAL

Baltimore Orioles

79-82

7

:
NYM

New York Mets

74-88

1

Win Probability

Moneyline

BAL

34.7% win prob

Moneyline

NYM

65.3% win prob

Projected score

3.6 – 4.7

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Run Line (-1.5/+1.5)BAL -1.5
10.5-1.25-13
BAL Cover
25.8%
EV -16.2%
+162Pinnacle ↗
NYM Cover
74.2%
EV +10.2%
-1611xBet ↗

1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection

F5 BAL

—

F5 Total

—

F5 NYM

—

Odds Comparison

Run Line

BookLineNYMEVBALEV
Pinnacle ↗+1.5-196-13.1%+162+16.9%
bet365 ↗+1.5-192-12.8%+160+16.4%
BetVictor ↗+1.5-189-12.6%+145+12.6%
Marathon ↗+1.5-182-12.1%+142+11.8%
1xBet ↗+1.5-161-10.4%+149+13.6%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗7-233-8.0%+185+9.4%
Betfair ↗8.5-115-10.0%-105+5.8%
bet365 ↗6.5-286-8.3%+202+7.7%
BetVictor ↗7.5-189-10.3%+145+8.9%
Marathon ↗7-286-10.0%+198+11.9%
Team123456789RHE
BAL123000001791
NYM000100000170
Scoring Plays
▲1st

Alonso homered to left center (410 feet).

BAL

0–1

▲2nd

Jackson homered to center (404 feet), Encarnacion-Strand scored.

BAL

0–3

▲3rd

Encarnacion-Strand homered to left center (399 feet), Mayo scored.

BAL

0–5

▲3rd

Basallo homered to center (425 feet).

BAL

0–6

▼4th

Semien singled to left, Young scored.

NYM

1–6

▲9th

Basallo singled to right, Encarnacion-Strand scored.

BAL

1–7

BatterABRHHRRBIBBKAVG
D. BeaversLF400—002.237
H. KjerstadPH100—001.222
L. TaverasRF000—000.217
P. Alonso1B4111101.267
G. HendersonSS400—001.221
C. MayoDH310—010.225
C. Encarnacion-Strand3B4331201.277
S. BasalloC4121201.227
J. Jackson2B4111202.229
R. HindsLF401—001.157
C. CowserCF301—011.217

Game Info

Venue

Citi Field, Queens, New York

Attendance

25,324

Broadcast

ESPN

Starting Pitchers

Bassitt vs Curry

Umpires

Home Plate: Shane LivenspargerFirst Base: Dan MerzelSecond Base: Dan BellinoThird Base: Mark Ripperger

Player Props

NYM BAL
Sort:

Where to Bet

silver
Under 8.5+13.5% EV

Win probability: 57.2%

Pinnacle
+145Bet →
Marathon
+128Bet →
1xBet
+128Bet →
bet365
+120Bet →
Betano
+115Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes New York Mets 65% to beat Baltimore Orioles (35%). Projected score: Baltimore Orioles 3.6, New York Mets 4.7. Final score: Baltimore Orioles 7, New York Mets 1.

Projection updated Sep 18, 6:00 AM ET

Who will win Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets?

AccuScore's simulation makes New York Mets the more likely winner at 65%. The game finished Baltimore Orioles 7, New York Mets 1.

Will New York Mets beat Baltimore Orioles?

AccuScore's simulation gives New York Mets a 65% chance of beating Baltimore Orioles, against 35% for Baltimore Orioles. It finished New York Mets 1, Baltimore Orioles 7.

What is the predicted score for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets?

AccuScore projects Baltimore Orioles 3.6, New York Mets 4.7.

Baltimore Orioles predictions & record →New York Mets predictions & record →