MLS
Final · SD 2–2 MIA ·
San Diego
2
Inter Miami
2
Win Probability
Moneyline
SD
+560
1.8% win prob
EV -44.1%
Marathon
Draw
Draw
+530
6% prob
EV -31.1%
Betano
Moneyline
MIA
-250
92.2% win prob
EV +14.5%
Pinnacle
Projected score
0.5 – 4.1
| Book | SD | EV | Draw | EV | MIA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +560 | -44.1% | +473 | -32.8% | -250 | +14.5% |
| Betfair ↗ | +550 | -44.1% | — | — | -303 | +11.3% |
| William Hill ↗ | +450 | -45.1% | +500 | -32.0% | -286 | +12.2% |
| Marathon ↗ | +560 | -44.1% | +465 | -33.1% | -294 | +11.8% |
| Betano ↗ | +560 | -44.1% | +530 | -31.1% | -250 | +14.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 4 | -122 | +3.2% | +107 | -6.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | 4.5 | +115 | +1.8% | -149 | -6.7% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | -227 | -1.8% | +162 | -6.7% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 4 | -137 | +1.0% | -105 | -8.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | 4 | -135 | +1.3% | -110 | -9.0% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | Dayne St. ClairG | 90 | — | — | 23(17) | 1 | 6.3 |
| 4 | Facundo MuraD | 90 | — | — | 32(31) | — | 6.3 |
| 5 | CasemiroD | 90 | — | — | 90(83) | — | 7.3 |
| 37 | Maximiliano FalcónD | 90 | — | — | 45(40) | — | 6.3 |
| 15 | Fricio CaicedoD | 69 | — | — | 25(23) | — | 6.9 |
| 7 | Rodrigo De PaulM | 90 | — | 1 | 70(61) | — | 6.9 |
| 42 | Yannick BrightM | 90 | — | — | 76(67) | — | 7.6 |
| 80 | Matías GalarzaM | 69 | — | — | 33(32) | — | 6.3 |
| 10 | Lionel MessiF | 90 | 1 | — | 47(32) | — | 8.7 |
| 9 | Luis SuárezF | 90 | 1 | — | 39(33) | — | 7.7 |
| 19 | Germán BerterameF | 87 | — | — | 26(26) | — | 6.9 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 34 | Rocco Ríos NovoG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Sergio ReguilónD sub | 21 | — | — | 11(8) | — | 6.3 |
| 16 | MicaelD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Gonzalo LujánD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 88 | Alexander ShawM sub | 21 | — | — | 15(13) | — | 6.7 |
| 22 | David AyalaM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Santiago MoralesM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 59 | Preston PlambeckM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 56 | Daniel PinterF sub | 9 | — | — | 3(3) | — | 6.5 |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 92.2%
AccuScore's simulation makes Inter Miami 92% to win, San Diego 2%, with a 6% chance of a draw. Projected score: San Diego 0.5, Inter Miami 4.1. The single most likely scoreline is 0–4 (12% of simulations). Final score: San Diego 2, Inter Miami 2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Inter Miami the more likely winner at 92%, with a 6% chance of a draw. The game finished San Diego 2, Inter Miami 2.
AccuScore's simulation gives Inter Miami a 92% chance of beating San Diego, with 2% for San Diego and 6% for a draw. It finished Inter Miami 2, San Diego 2.
AccuScore projects San Diego 0.5, Inter Miami 4.1, with 0-4 the single most likely scoreline.