Sevilla
3
Barcelona
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
SEV
-278
4.5% win prob
EV -46.9%
Betano
Draw
Draw
+565
17% prob
EV +5.5%
Marathon
Moneyline
BAR
+850
78.8% win prob
EV +324.3%
Pinnacle
Projected score
0.3 – 2.2
| Book | SEV | EV | Draw | EV | BAR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -345 | -47.1% | +550 | +4.3% | +850 | +324.3% |
| Betfair ↗ | -455 | -47.3% | +500 | +0.1% | +750 | +284.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | -333 | -47.1% | +525 | +2.2% | +650 | +245.5% |
| William Hill ↗ | -345 | -47.1% | — | — | +700 | +265.2% |
| Marathon ↗ | -345 | -47.1% | +565 | +5.5% | +840 | +320.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3.5 | -137 | -28.1% | +117 | +31.0% |
| Betfair ↗ | 3.5 | -137 | -28.1% | +100 | +24.7% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | -125 | -27.2% | +100 | +24.7% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3.5 | -143 | -28.5% | -101 | +24.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | 3.5 | -132 | -27.8% | +109 | +28.0% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odysseas VlachodimosG | 90 | — | — | 27(13) | 5 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Juan IglesiasD | 90 | — | — | 25(19) | — | 6.7 |
| 5 | Andrés CastrinD | 90 | — | — | 21(18) | — | 6.2 |
| 17 | Gabriel SuazoD | 90 | — | — | 31(21) | — | 6.3 |
| 12 | Arouna SanganteD | 68 | — | — | 17(12) | — | 6 |
| 6 | Lucien AgouméM | 90 | — | — | 31(29) | — | 6.9 |
| 24 | Youssouf FofanaM | 79 | 1 | — | 21(15) | — | 8 |
| 30 | Miguel SierraM | 78 | — | — | 22(17) | — | 6.9 |
| 8 | Giorgi KochorashviliM | 68 | — | — | 29(23) | — | 6.6 |
| 20 | Félix CorreiaM | 59 | — | 1 | 19(9) | — | 7.2 |
| 9 | Robbie UreF | 90 | — | — | 12(9) | — | 6.2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 13 | Fran GonzálezG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | José Ángel CarmonaD sub | 22 | — | — | 6(5) | — | 6.2 |
| 3 | Julio DíazD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 23 | MarcãoD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 34 | Iker MuñozD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Jon GuridiM sub | 12 | — | — | 4(2) | — | 6.6 |
| 27 | Nico GuillénM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14 | Manu BuenoM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21 | Chidera EjukeF sub | 31 | — | — | 5(5) | — | 6.5 |
| 16 | Isaac RomeroF sub | 22 | — | — | 6(5) | — | 6.7 |
| 7 | Alfon GonzálezF sub | 11 | — | — | 2(1) | — | 6.3 |
| 10 | Peque FernándezF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 16.7%
La Liga
Final · SEV 3–1 BAR ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Barcelona 79% to win, Sevilla 5%, with a 17% chance of a draw. Projected score: Sevilla 0.3, Barcelona 2.2. The single most likely scoreline is 0–2 (19% of simulations). Final score: Sevilla 3, Barcelona 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Barcelona the more likely winner at 79%, with a 17% chance of a draw. The game finished Sevilla 3, Barcelona 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives Barcelona a 79% chance of beating Sevilla, with 5% for Sevilla and 17% for a draw. It finished Barcelona 1, Sevilla 3.
AccuScore projects Sevilla 0.3, Barcelona 2.2, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline.