Genoa
1
Parma
2
Win Probability
Moneyline
GEN
+147
31.3% win prob
EV -11.3%
Pinnacle
Draw
Draw
+210
43% prob
EV +16.6%
BetVictor
Moneyline
PAR
+248
25.7% win prob
EV -5.3%
Pinnacle
Projected score
0.6 – 0.5
| Book | GEN | EV | Draw | EV | PAR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +147 | -11.3% | +198 | +14.1% | +248 | -5.3% |
| Betfair ↗ | +138 | -12.8% | +188 | +11.9% | +210 | -10.2% |
| bet365 ↗ | +140 | -12.4% | +200 | +14.5% | +230 | -7.6% |
| William Hill ↗ | +140 | -12.4% | +180 | +10.2% | +210 | -10.2% |
| BetVictor ↗ | +138 | -12.8% | +210 | +16.6% | +220 | -8.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2 | -105 | -29.7% | -105 | +27.8% |
| Betfair ↗ | 1.5 | -222 | -27.6% | +155 | +38.2% |
| bet365 ↗ | 1.5 | -200 | -26.9% | +162 | +40.6% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2 | -119 | -30.2% | -120 | +23.6% |
| Marathon ↗ | 2 | -115 | -30.1% | -119 | +23.9% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Edoardo CorviG | 90 | — | — | 40(21) | 4 | 7.2 |
| 37 | Mariano TroiloD | 90 | — | — | 47(40) | — | 6.7 |
| 72 | Dominik Drobnic D | 90 | — | — | 43(33) | — | 5.6 |
| 34 | Diego CarlosD | 81 | — | — | 40(36) | — | 7 |
| 15 | Enrico DelpratoM | 90 | — | — | 25(20) | — | 6.7 |
| 16 | Mandela KeitaM | 90 | — | — | 32(29) | — | 7.2 |
| 14 | Emanuele ValeriM | 90 | — | — | 19(12) | — | 6.9 |
| 4 | Vincent SierroM | 81 | — | — | 32(28) | — | 6.2 |
| 76 | Simone LontaniF | 67 | — | — | 13(9) | — | 6.2 |
| 19 | El Bilal TouréF | 57 | — | 1 | 9(7) | — | 6.6 |
| 9 | David RomeroF | 57 | 1 | — | 6(3) | — | 7.2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 30 | Giovanni DaffaraG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | Simone GhidottiG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 27 | Sascha BritschgiD sub | 9 | — | — | 3(2) | — | 6.9 |
| 3 | Abdoulaye NdiayeD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Franco CarboniD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 80 | Giovanni FabbianM sub | 23 | — | — | 8(6) | — | 6.3 |
| 32 | Christian OrdoñezM sub | 9 | — | — | 2(2) | — | 6.7 |
| 47 | Abdou-Salam KonateM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | Benjamin CremaschiM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 23 | Nesta ElphegeF sub | 33 | — | 1 | 11(11) | — | 7.5 |
| 11 | Pontus AlmqvistF sub | 33 | 1 | — | 3(3) | — | 7.3 |
| 7 | Ousmane DialloF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Matija FriganF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 43.0%
Serie A
Final · GEN 1–2 PAR ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Genoa 31% to win, Parma 26%, with a 43% chance of a draw. Projected score: Genoa 0.6, Parma 0.5. The single most likely scoreline is 0–0 (33% of simulations). Final score: Genoa 1, Parma 2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Genoa the more likely winner at 31%, with a 43% chance of a draw. The game finished Genoa 1, Parma 2.
AccuScore's simulation gives Parma a 26% chance of beating Genoa, with 31% for Genoa and 43% for a draw. It finished Parma 2, Genoa 1.
AccuScore projects Genoa 0.6, Parma 0.5, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline.