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MLS

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Final · NSH 3–0 CHI · Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

← Today's Edges
MLS•FINAL
NSH

Nashville SC

3

:
CHI

Chicago Fire

0

Win Probability

Moneyline

NSH

+305

69.6% win prob

EV +90.9%

Marathon

Draw

Draw

+296

22% prob

EV -7.2%

Marathon

Moneyline

CHI

-132

8.8% win prob

EV -42.3%

SBOBET

Projected score

1.9 – 0.5

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 3
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
21.1%
EV -22.3%
-154Marathon ↗
Under Cover
58.3%
EV +19.5%
+103Marathon ↗
Push 20.6% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Odds Comparison

Away / Draw / Home

BookNSHEVDrawEVCHIEV
Betfair ↗+280+82.2%+290-7.9%-137-42.4%
William Hill ↗+290+85.7%+290-7.9%-137-42.4%
Marathon ↗+305+90.9%+296-7.2%-135-42.3%
SBOBET ↗+269+78.4%+274-9.6%-132-42.3%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗3-133-21.2%+116+23.3%
bet365 ↗1.5-714-11.2%+450+37.9%
BetVictor ↗2.75-185—+126—
Marathon ↗3-154-22.3%+103+19.5%
Betano ↗3-128-20.9%+110+21.5%
CHI 4-2-3-1Lineup4-2-3-1 NSH
BradyDeanElliottAllenGutmanOregelD'AvillaZinckerna…LodHaile-Sel…Lewandows…SchwakeNajarPalaciosWoledziBaker-Whi…YazbekCorcoranEspinozaMukhtarSaadSurridge
CHINSH

Match Events

87
⚽
Hany Mukhtar(ass. Cristian Espinoza)
CHI
78
⚽
Cristian Espinoza(ass. Andy Najar)
CHI
57
🟨
Jack Elliott
NSH
36
🟨
Hany Mukhtar
CHI
33
⚽
Sam Surridge(ass. Reed Baker-Whiting)
CHI

Match Statistics

CHIPossessionNSH
55%
45%
13
Shots
10
5
On Target
1
5
Corners
2
12
Fouls
9
4
Offsides
2
0
Saves
3
2.07
xG
0.96
514 (457)
Passes
414 (351)
4-2-3-1
Formation
4-2-3-1

Player Stats

CHI

#PlayerMinGAPssSvRat
99Brian SchwakeG96——27(18)—6.9
4Jeisson PalaciosD96——75(68)—7.9
3Maxwell WoledziD96——62(60)—7.3
27Reed Baker-WhitingD96—147(43)—8.2
31Andy NajarD83—144(40)—7.6
16Matthew CorcoranM96——87(75)—7.6
7Cristian EspinozaM911138(31)—8.9
10Hany MukhtarM911—42(39)—7.6
8Patrick YazbekM83——40(39)—7.7
11Elias SaadM68——21(18)—7.2
9Sam SurridgeF961—11(11)—7.5
Substitutes
1Joe WillisG sub——————
2Daniel LovitzD sub13——4(1)—6.7
22Josh BauerD sub5—————
5Jack MaherD sub——————
14Shakur MohammedM sub28——8(8)—6.3
20Edvard TagsethM sub13——7(6)—6.7
19Alex MuylM sub5——1(0)——
6Bryan AcostaM sub——————
37Ahmed QasemF sub——————

Goal Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Fire

Philip Aksel Frigast Zinckernagel
24%
Sergio Oregel Jr.
10%
Dje D'Avilla
4%
Samual Jarard Rogers
4%
Jack Elliott
3%
Robert Jonathan Dean Jr
0%

Nashville SC

Sam Surridge
50%
Cristian Espinoza
32%
Hany Mukhtar
30%
Alex Muyl
21%
Reed Vanarthur Baker-Whiting
7%
Matthew James Corcoran
3%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville SC 70% to win, Chicago Fire 9%, with a 22% chance of a draw. Projected score: Nashville SC 1.9, Chicago Fire 0.5. The single most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% of simulations). Final score: Nashville SC 3, Chicago Fire 0.

Projection updated Oct 2, 3:35 PM ET

Who will win Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?

AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville SC the more likely winner at 70%, with a 22% chance of a draw. The game finished Nashville SC 3, Chicago Fire 0.

Will Chicago Fire beat Nashville SC?

AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Fire a 9% chance of beating Nashville SC, with 70% for Nashville SC and 22% for a draw. It finished Chicago Fire 0, Nashville SC 3.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?

AccuScore projects Nashville SC 1.9, Chicago Fire 0.5, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.

Nashville SC predictions & record →Chicago Fire predictions & record →