Serie A
Final · VEN 2–0 LAZ ·
Venezia
2
Lazio
0
Win Probability
Moneyline
VEN
+101
38.1% win prob
EV -11.7%
Marathon
Draw
Draw
+259
27% prob
EV -2.4%
Pinnacle
Moneyline
LAZ
+303
35.4% win prob
EV +21.3%
1xBet
Projected score
1.6 – 1.5
| Book | VEN | EV | Draw | EV | LAZ | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +100 | -11.9% | +259 | -2.4% | +301 | +21.0% |
| Betfair ↗ | -110 | -13.6% | +230 | -6.3% | +275 | +16.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | +100 | -11.9% | — | — | +280 | +17.3% |
| William Hill ↗ | -110 | -13.6% | — | — | +275 | +16.4% |
| BetVictor ↗ | -105 | -12.8% | — | — | +260 | +13.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2.5 | -127 | +4.1% | +113 | -8.0% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.5 | -143 | +1.4% | -101 | -10.7% |
| Marathon ↗ | 2.5 | -132 | +3.2% | +108 | -9.0% |
| 1xBet ↗ | 2.5 | -125 | +4.5% | +110 | -8.6% |
| Betano ↗ | 2.5 | -133 | +3.0% | +115 | -7.6% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Filip StankovićG | 90 | — | — | 42(29) | — | 6.2 |
| 3 | Joel SchingtienneD | 90 | — | — | 47(39) | — | 6 |
| 15 | Juan JesusD | 90 | — | — | 55(52) | — | 5.9 |
| 2 | Matias MorenoD | 90 | — | — | 38(36) | — | 6.9 |
| 18 | Antoine HainautM | 90 | — | — | 40(37) | — | 6.6 |
| 71 | Kike PérezM | 90 | — | — | 68(63) | — | 6.9 |
| 19 | Simon SohmM | 90 | — | — | 61(53) | — | 6.9 |
| 14 | Thierry CorreiaM | 76 | — | — | 24(17) | — | 6.7 |
| 21 | Þórir Jóhann HelgasonM | 73 | — | — | 30(24) | — | 6.5 |
| 10 | John YeboahF | 87 | — | — | 40(34) | — | 6.2 |
| 45 | Akor AdamsF | 73 | — | — | 14(10) | — | 7.7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 96 | Lorenzo MontipòG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Richie SagradoD sub | 14 | — | — | 7(7) | — | 6.6 |
| 16 | Rufai MohammedD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 95 | Ale GomesD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 25 | Redouane HalhalD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | Lamine FanneM sub | 17 | — | — | 4(3) | — | 6.7 |
| 77 | Toni FernándezM sub | 3 | — | — | 5(4) | — | — |
| 36 | Lorenzo BerardiM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 55 | Simone PanadaM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7 | Albion RrahmaniF sub | 17 | — | — | 7(4) | — | 6.9 |
| 56 | Kornel LismanF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Lion LauberbachF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 38.2%
AccuScore's simulation makes Venezia 38% to win, Lazio 35%, with a 27% chance of a draw. Projected score: Venezia 1.6, Lazio 1.5. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% of simulations). Final score: Venezia 2, Lazio 0.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Venezia the more likely winner at 38%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The game finished Venezia 2, Lazio 0.
AccuScore's simulation gives Lazio a 35% chance of beating Venezia, with 38% for Venezia and 27% for a draw. It finished Lazio 0, Venezia 2.
AccuScore projects Venezia 1.6, Lazio 1.5, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.