Tottenham
3
Aston Villa
2
Win Probability
Moneyline
TOT
+320
57.1% win prob
EV +69.9%
Pinnacle
Draw
Draw
+290
28% prob
EV +4.0%
BetVictor
Moneyline
AVL
-101
15.2% win prob
EV -34.9%
SBOBET
Projected score
1.4 – 0.6
| Book | TOT | EV | Draw | EV | AVL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +320 | +69.9% | +287 | +3.6% | -114 | -35.7% |
| Betfair ↗ | +300 | +64.2% | — | — | -110 | -35.5% |
| bet365 ↗ | +290 | +61.3% | +275 | +1.9% | -118 | -36.0% |
| William Hill ↗ | +280 | +58.5% | — | — | -110 | -35.5% |
| BetVictor ↗ | +290 | +61.3% | +290 | +4.0% | -118 | -36.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | +102 | -27.0% | -112 | +23.5% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -161 | -24.2% | +130 | +28.4% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3 | -109 | -27.7% | -132 | +18.9% |
| Marathon ↗ | 3 | -110 | -27.8% | -123 | +20.8% |
| 1xBet ↗ | 3 | -109 | -27.7% | -125 | +20.3% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Antonín KinskýG | 90 | — | — | 21(16) | 3 | 5.6 |
| 6 | Jan Paul van HeckeD | 90 | 1 | — | 67(58) | — | 7.9 |
| 37 | Micky van de VenD | 90 | — | — | 78(72) | — | 6.9 |
| 3 | Andy RobertsonD | 90 | — | 1 | 66(55) | — | 6.9 |
| 23 | Pedro PorroD | 19 | — | — | 12(7) | — | 6.3 |
| 17 | SávioM | 90 | — | — | 39(34) | — | 6.7 |
| 22 | Omar MarmoushM | 90 | — | — | 23(21) | — | 6.2 |
| 30 | Rodrigo BentancurM | 84 | — | — | 66(58) | — | 7.2 |
| 16 | Sandro TonaliM | 84 | — | — | 64(58) | — | 7.9 |
| 18 | Mateus FernandesM | 45 | — | — | 26(23) | — | 6.5 |
| 19 | Dominic SolankeF | 66 | — | — | 15(14) | — | 6.7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 39 | Martin DúbravkaG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Tosin AdarabioyoD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Marcos SenesiD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 13 | Destiny UdogieD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14 | Archie GrayM sub | 71 | — | — | 29(27) | — | 6.2 |
| 20 | Mohammed KudusM sub | 45 | — | 1 | 24(19) | — | 7.2 |
| 10 | James MaddisonM sub | 24 | — | — | 21(18) | — | 7 |
| 8 | Conor GallagherM sub | 15 | 1 | — | 10(8) | — | 7.7 |
| 15 | Lucas BergvallM sub | 15 | — | — | 10(8) | — | 6.7 |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 27.7%
EPL
Final · TOT 3–2 AVL ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Tottenham 57% to win, Aston Villa 15%, with a 28% chance of a draw. Projected score: Tottenham 1.4, Aston Villa 0.6. The single most likely scoreline is 1–0 (19% of simulations). Final score: Tottenham 3, Aston Villa 2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tottenham the more likely winner at 57%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The game finished Tottenham 3, Aston Villa 2.
AccuScore's simulation gives Aston Villa a 15% chance of beating Tottenham, with 57% for Tottenham and 28% for a draw. It finished Aston Villa 2, Tottenham 3.
AccuScore projects Tottenham 1.4, Aston Villa 0.6, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.