Serie A
Final · MON 1–2 SAS ·
Monza
1
Sassuolo
2
Win Probability
Moneyline
MON
+168
50.3% win prob
EV +17.4%
Pinnacle
Draw
Draw
+235
26% prob
EV -6.1%
1xBet
Moneyline
SAS
+200
23.5% win prob
EV -14.8%
1xBet
Projected score
1.8 – 1.2
| Book | MON | EV | Draw | EV | SAS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +168 | +17.4% | — | — | +183 | -16.7% |
| Betfair ↗ | +140 | +10.4% | +210 | -9.4% | +175 | -17.7% |
| William Hill ↗ | +150 | +12.9% | +210 | -9.4% | +175 | -17.7% |
| BetVictor ↗ | +145 | +11.6% | — | — | +175 | -17.7% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +161 | +15.6% | +235 | -6.1% | +200 | -14.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2.5 | -127 | +1.9% | +113 | -5.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | 2.5 | -167 | -3.5% | +120 | -3.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | 0.5 | -2500 | -0.5% | +1100 | -20.7% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.5 | -143 | -0.6% | -101 | -8.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | 2.5 | -132 | +1.1% | +109 | -6.2% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noel TörnqvistG | 96 | — | — | 40(20) | 7 | 7.6 |
| 60 | Eddy KouadioD | 96 | — | — | 41(36) | — | 7.3 |
| 3 | Lorenzo LucchesiD | 96 | — | — | 33(32) | — | 6.9 |
| 44 | Andrea CarboniD | 96 | — | — | 42(31) | — | 7.2 |
| 90 | Michael FolorunshoM | 96 | — | — | 24(22) | — | 6.6 |
| 19 | Samuele BirindelliM | 93 | — | 1 | 27(23) | — | 7 |
| 14 | Ebenezer AkinsanmiroM | 56 | — | — | 21(18) | — | 7 |
| 7 | Ricardo MangasM | 56 | — | — | 13(11) | — | 6.6 |
| 9 | Gustavo VarelaF | 96 | 2 | — | 21(17) | — | 8.3 |
| 46 | Jay RobinsonF | 82 | — | — | 16(13) | — | 6.9 |
| 10 | Patrick CutroneF | 56 | — | — | 17(9) | — | 6.3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 43 | Aljaz StrajnarG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Demba ThiamG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 24 | Adam BakouneD sub | 40 | — | — | 5(5) | — | 6.9 |
| 5 | Yvan MayeD sub | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Valentin AntovD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Saba GoglichidzeD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | Manga Foe OndoaM sub | 40 | — | — | 3(2) | — | 6.5 |
| 80 | Mathis MoutM sub | 14 | — | — | 1(1) | — | 6.3 |
| 21 | Leonardo ColomboM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 28 | Andrea ColpaniM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 47 | Dany MotaF sub | 40 | — | — | 9(8) | — | 6.9 |
| 11 | Omari ForsonF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | Exequiel ZeballosF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 16 | Cyril NgongeF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 50.3%
AccuScore's simulation makes Monza 50% to win, Sassuolo 24%, with a 26% chance of a draw. Projected score: Monza 1.8, Sassuolo 1.2. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% of simulations). Final score: Monza 1, Sassuolo 2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Monza the more likely winner at 50%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The game finished Monza 1, Sassuolo 2.
AccuScore's simulation gives Sassuolo a 24% chance of beating Monza, with 50% for Monza and 26% for a draw. It finished Sassuolo 2, Monza 1.
AccuScore projects Monza 1.8, Sassuolo 1.2, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.