Torino
2
Fiorentina
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
TOR
+286
22.9% win prob
EV -5.8%
Pinnacle
Draw
Draw
+228
26% prob
EV -7.7%
Marathon
Moneyline
FIO
+117
51.3% win prob
EV +5.7%
Pinnacle
Projected score
1.1 – 1.8
| Book | TOR | EV | Draw | EV | FIO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +286 | -5.8% | +224 | -8.2% | +117 | +5.7% |
| bet365 ↗ | +270 | -7.6% | +220 | -8.7% | +110 | +3.9% |
| William Hill ↗ | +230 | -12.2% | +220 | -8.7% | +110 | +3.9% |
| Marathon ↗ | +278 | -6.7% | +228 | -7.7% | +113 | +4.6% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +284 | -6.0% | +228 | -7.7% | +115 | +5.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2.5 | +108 | +6.4% | -123 | -8.5% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -110 | +1.8% | -110 | -6.3% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.5 | -111 | +1.6% | -128 | -9.2% |
| Marathon ↗ | 2.5 | -101 | +4.0% | -119 | -7.9% |
| 1xBet ↗ | 2.5 | -103 | +3.4% | -110 | -6.3% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | David De GeaG | 90 | — | — | 15(11) | 2 | 6.9 |
| 17 | João MárioD | 90 | — | — | 45(41) | — | 6.9 |
| 3 | Radu DrăguşinD | 90 | — | 1 | 27(23) | — | 6.6 |
| 33 | VieryD | 90 | — | — | 33(26) | — | 6.3 |
| 21 | Víctor ValdepeñasD | 90 | — | — | 41(35) | — | 6.7 |
| 44 | Nicolò FagioliM | 90 | — | — | 58(49) | — | 7.2 |
| 4 | Marco BrescianiniM | 45 | — | — | 4(4) | — | 6.6 |
| 42 | Christ Inao OulaïM | 24 | — | — | 5(5) | — | 6.7 |
| 25 | Alieu NjieF | 79 | — | — | 20(17) | — | 7.2 |
| 32 | Mateo PellegrinoF | 76 | 1 | — | 12(6) | — | 7.7 |
| 30 | Franco MastantuonoF | 45 | — | — | 12(8) | — | 6.6 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 53 | Oliver ChristensenG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 19 | Luca LezzeriniG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Marin PongračićD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | DodôD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Luca RanieriD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Álex JiménezD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 27 | Cher NdourM sub | 66 | — | — | 34(27) | — | 6.6 |
| 14 | Arthur AttaM sub | 45 | — | — | 16(16) | — | 6.9 |
| 28 | Pedro GonçalvesM sub | 11 | — | — | 6(5) | — | 6.7 |
| 29 | Wilfried GnontoF sub | 45 | — | — | 20(17) | — | 6.5 |
| 23 | BetoF sub | 14 | — | — | 2(1) | — | 6.3 |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 54.2%
Serie A
Final · TOR 2–1 FIO ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Fiorentina 51% to win, Torino 23%, with a 26% chance of a draw. Projected score: Torino 1.1, Fiorentina 1.8. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% of simulations). Final score: Torino 2, Fiorentina 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Fiorentina the more likely winner at 51%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The game finished Torino 2, Fiorentina 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives Fiorentina a 51% chance of beating Torino, with 23% for Torino and 26% for a draw. It finished Fiorentina 1, Torino 2.
AccuScore projects Torino 1.1, Fiorentina 1.8, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.