Serie A
Final · VEN 0–2 MIL ·
Venezia
0
Milan
2
Win Probability
Moneyline
VEN
+710
21.4% win prob
EV +36.7%
10Bet
Draw
Draw
+368
26% prob
EV +10.6%
1xBet
Moneyline
MIL
-192
52.7% win prob
EV -9.9%
1xBet
Projected score
1.1 – 1.9
| Book | VEN | EV | Draw | EV | MIL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill ↗ | +500 | +14.2% | +320 | +4.4% | -227 | -12.0% |
| BetVictor ↗ | +600 | +24.9% | +340 | +7.0% | -227 | -12.0% |
| Marathon ↗ | +595 | +24.4% | +360 | +9.6% | -204 | -10.7% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +606 | +25.5% | +368 | +10.6% | -192 | -9.9% |
| SBOBET ↗ | +576 | +22.3% | +322 | +4.6% | -256 | -13.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2.75 | -106 | — | -104 | — |
| Unibet ↗ | 3 | +115 | -2.1% | -147 | -2.3% |
| Betfair ↗ | 2.5 | -154 | -3.4% | +110 | -4.4% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3 | +112 | -2.6% | -161 | -3.6% |
| Marathon ↗ | 3 | +118 | -1.6% | -154 | -3.0% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mike MaignanG | 90 | — | — | 35(29) | 2 | 7.3 |
| 5 | Koni De WinterD | 90 | — | — | 33(30) | — | 6.6 |
| 31 | Strahinja PavlovićD | 90 | — | — | 47(45) | — | 7.3 |
| 34 | Mario GilaD | 87 | — | — | 59(54) | — | 7.3 |
| 21 | Samuel ChukwuezeM | 90 | — | — | 31(26) | — | 7.9 |
| 80 | Yunus MusahM | 90 | — | — | 48(45) | — | 7.2 |
| 33 | Davide BartesaghiM | 87 | — | — | 42(36) | — | 7.2 |
| 14 | Luka ModrićM | 74 | — | — | 63(57) | — | 7.3 |
| 9 | Gonçalo RamosF | 90 | 1 | — | 29(22) | — | 6.9 |
| 8 | Ruben Loftus-CheekF | 59 | — | — | 27(26) | — | 6.7 |
| 70 | Alphadjo CissèF | 59 | — | — | 30(21) | — | 6.2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 96 | Lorenzo TorrianiG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | Pietro TerraccianoG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 46 | Matteo GabbiaD sub | 3 | — | — | 1(0) | — | — |
| 2 | Pervis EstupiñánD sub | 3 | — | — | 2(2) | — | — |
| 13 | Sankhoun DiawaraD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42 | Filippo TerraccianoD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12 | Adrien RabiotM sub | 31 | — | — | 20(18) | — | 6.7 |
| 30 | Ardon JashariM sub | 16 | — | — | 16(13) | — | 6.6 |
| 28 | Christian ComottoM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | Christian PulišićM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 56 | Alexis SaelemaekersF sub | 31 | — | 1 | 25(23) | — | 7.5 |
| 22 | Diego MoreiraF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 73 | Francesco CamardaF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 25.9%
AccuScore's simulation makes Milan 53% to win, Venezia 21%, with a 26% chance of a draw. Projected score: Venezia 1.1, Milan 1.9. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% of simulations). Final score: Venezia 0, Milan 2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Milan the more likely winner at 53%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The game finished Venezia 0, Milan 2.
AccuScore's simulation gives Milan a 53% chance of beating Venezia, with 21% for Venezia and 26% for a draw. It finished Milan 2, Venezia 0.
AccuScore projects Venezia 1.1, Milan 1.9, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.