Malaga
0
Real Madrid
4
Win Probability
Moneyline
MLG
+2400
0.5% win prob
EV -43.8%
1xBet
Draw
Draw
+1060
4% prob
EV -27.4%
1xBet
Moneyline
RMA
-714
95.6% win prob
EV +4.5%
William Hill
Projected score
0.2 – 3.9
| Book | MLG | EV | Draw | EV | RMA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill ↗ | +1600 | -45.8% | +750 | -33.4% | -714 | +4.5% |
| Marathon ↗ | +2300 | -44.0% | +1000 | -28.5% | -909 | +3.1% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +2400 | -43.8% | +1060 | -27.4% | -833 | +3.5% |
| SBOBET ↗ | +1200 | -46.8% | +691 | -34.6% | -1000 | +2.6% |
| 10Bet ↗ | +1550 | -45.9% | +840 | -31.7% | -909 | +3.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 4 | +105 | -1.2% | -122 | -1.7% |
| Unibet ↗ | 3.75 | -119 | — | — | — |
| Betfair ↗ | 3.5 | -149 | -1.9% | +115 | -4.4% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 4 | -106 | -3.2% | -135 | -3.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | 3.5 | -145 | -1.3% | +120 | -3.4% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thibaut CourtoisG | 94 | — | — | 35(31) | 1 | 6.9 |
| 12 | Trent Alexander-ArnoldD | 94 | — | 1 | 96(87) | — | 7.9 |
| 22 | Antonio RüdigerD | 94 | — | — | 82(79) | — | 7.3 |
| 4 | Dean HuijsenD | 94 | — | — | 54(50) | — | 7.2 |
| 17 | Marc CucurellaD | 94 | — | — | 50(45) | — | 7.2 |
| 6 | Eduardo CamavingaM | 94 | — | — | 71(64) | — | 6.9 |
| 7 | Vinícius JúniorM | 94 | — | 1 | 31(26) | — | 7.3 |
| 5 | Jude BellinghamM | 87 | 1 | — | 38(36) | — | 8.3 |
| 8 | Federico ValverdeM | 77 | — | — | 56(50) | — | 7.2 |
| 21 | Brahim DíazM | 65 | — | — | 27(27) | — | 6.7 |
| 10 | Kylian MbappéF | 94 | 1 | — | 34(30) | — | 8.9 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 13 | Andriy LuninG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 31 | Javi NavarroG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 16 | Ibrahima KonatéD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Álvaro CarrerasD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 33 | Mario RivasD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 24 | Denzel DumfriesD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Bernardo SilvaM sub | 17 | — | — | 9(9) | — | 6.3 |
| 15 | Arda GülerM sub | 7 | 1 | — | 1(1) | — | 7.3 |
| 29 | Jorge CesteroM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 36 | Alexis CiriaM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 25 | Yan DiomandeF sub | 29 | — | — | 14(13) | — | 7 |
| 19 | Carlos EspíF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 95.6%
La Liga
Final · MLG 0–4 RMA ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Madrid 96% to win, Malaga 1%, with a 4% chance of a draw. Projected score: Malaga 0.2, Real Madrid 3.9. The single most likely scoreline is 0–3 (17% of simulations). Final score: Malaga 0, Real Madrid 4.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Madrid the more likely winner at 96%, with a 4% chance of a draw. The game finished Malaga 0, Real Madrid 4.
AccuScore's simulation gives Real Madrid a 96% chance of beating Malaga, with 1% for Malaga and 4% for a draw. It finished Real Madrid 4, Malaga 0.
AccuScore projects Malaga 0.2, Real Madrid 3.9, with 0-3 the single most likely scoreline.