Atlético Madrid
3
Sevilla
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
ATL
+110
55.2% win prob
EV +8.0%
William Hill
Draw
Draw
+258
30% prob
EV +3.3%
1xBet
Moneyline
SEV
+337
15.0% win prob
EV -17.2%
1xBet
Projected score
1.3 – 0.5
| Book | ATL | EV | Draw | EV | SEV | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -101 | +4.9% | +251 | +2.3% | +315 | -18.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | -110 | +2.7% | — | — | +310 | -19.3% |
| William Hill ↗ | +110 | +8.0% | +230 | -0.8% | +240 | -24.5% |
| BetVictor ↗ | -111 | +2.5% | — | — | +310 | -19.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | -106 | +3.6% | +252 | +2.4% | +330 | -17.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2.5 | +113 | -20.7% | -127 | +14.8% |
| Unibet ↗ | 2.5 | +100 | -22.5% | -130 | +14.2% |
| Betfair ↗ | 2.5 | -105 | -23.2% | -133 | +13.5% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.5 | -103 | -22.9% | -139 | +12.4% |
| Marathon ↗ | 2.25 | -127 | — | +100 | — |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odysseas VlachodimosG | 90 | — | — | 18(11) | 2 | 5.6 |
| 2 | Juan IglesiasD | 90 | — | — | 22(14) | — | 6.5 |
| 5 | Andres CastrinD | 90 | — | — | 39(35) | — | 6.3 |
| 4 | Kike SalasD | 90 | — | — | 55(40) | — | 6.9 |
| 17 | Gabriel SuazoD | 90 | — | — | 62(50) | — | 6.3 |
| 6 | Lucien AgouméM | 90 | — | — | 45(40) | — | 6.9 |
| 30 | Miguel SierraM | 80 | 1 | — | 17(11) | — | 7.7 |
| 10 | Peque FernándezM | 68 | — | — | 19(16) | — | 6.7 |
| 18 | Jon GuridiM | 55 | — | — | 18(15) | — | 6 |
| 3 | Julio DíazM | 55 | — | — | 12(10) | — | 6.2 |
| 9 | Robbie UreF | 90 | — | 1 | 15(12) | — | 6.3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 13 | Fran GonzálezG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12 | Arouna SanganteD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 34 | Iker MuñozD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | José Ángel CarmonaD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | Giorgi KochorashviliM sub | 35 | — | — | 21(20) | — | 6.9 |
| 27 | Nico GuillénM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 28 | Manu BuenoM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21 | Chidera EjukeF sub | 35 | — | — | 13(13) | — | 7.3 |
| 16 | Isaac RomeroF sub | 22 | — | — | 6(4) | — | 6.3 |
| 7 | Alfon GonzálezF sub | 10 | — | — | 2(2) | — | 6.3 |
| 37 | Ibra SowF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 26 | Manuel Ángel CastilloF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 55.2%
La Liga
Final · ATL 3–1 SEV ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid 55% to win, Sevilla 15%, with a 30% chance of a draw. Projected score: Atlético Madrid 1.3, Sevilla 0.5. The single most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% of simulations). Final score: Atlético Madrid 3, Sevilla 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid the more likely winner at 55%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The game finished Atlético Madrid 3, Sevilla 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives Sevilla a 15% chance of beating Atlético Madrid, with 55% for Atlético Madrid and 30% for a draw. It finished Sevilla 1, Atlético Madrid 3.
AccuScore projects Atlético Madrid 1.3, Sevilla 0.5, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.