Manchester City
1
Manchester United
0
Win Probability
Moneyline
MCI
+130
52.0% win prob
EV +9.8%
Pinnacle
Draw
Draw
+290
23% prob
EV -5.7%
Betano
Moneyline
MUN
+206
25.3% win prob
EV -11.3%
Marathon
Projected score
2.1 – 1.4
| Book | MCI | EV | Draw | EV | MUN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +130 | +9.8% | +282 | -6.6% | +201 | -11.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | +120 | +7.2% | +275 | -7.4% | +200 | -12.0% |
| William Hill ↗ | +120 | +7.2% | — | — | +188 | -13.6% |
| Marathon ↗ | +126 | +8.8% | +282 | -6.6% | +206 | -11.3% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +122 | +7.7% | +280 | -6.9% | +204 | -11.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | -128 | +2.1% | +116 | -4.6% |
| Betfair ↗ | 2.5 | -222 | -0.7% | +175 | -5.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -189 | +1.9% | +150 | -9.9% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3 | -137 | +0.9% | -104 | -7.7% |
| Marathon ↗ | 3 | -145 | -0.1% | +108 | -5.8% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senne LammensG | 90 | — | — | 15(12) | 1 | 6.6 |
| 2 | Diogo DalotD | 90 | — | — | 38(32) | — | 6.7 |
| 5 | Harry MaguireD | 90 | — | — | 58(50) | — | 6.3 |
| 6 | Lisandro MartínezD | 90 | — | — | 61(53) | — | 7 |
| 13 | Patrick DorguD | 90 | — | — | 40(36) | — | 6.3 |
| 37 | Kobbie MainooM | 90 | — | — | 67(65) | — | 7.5 |
| 19 | Bryan MbeumoM | 90 | — | — | 26(19) | — | 6 |
| 8 | Bruno FernandesM | 90 | — | — | 57(51) | — | 7.3 |
| 9 | Marcus RashfordM | 83 | — | — | 28(23) | — | 6.6 |
| 18 | Youri TielemansM | 67 | — | — | 43(38) | — | 7.2 |
| 10 | Matheus CunhaF | 90 | — | — | 28(23) | — | 6.6 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 12 | Karl DarlowG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 26 | Ayden HeavenD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Noussair MazraouiD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 15 | Leny YoroD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 17 | Andrey SantosM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7 | Mason MountM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 30 | Benjamin ŠeškoF sub | 23 | — | — | 4(4) | — | 6.7 |
| 11 | Joshua ZirkzeeF sub | 13 | — | — | 7(5) | — | 6.3 |
| 31 | Shea LaceyF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 52.0%
EPL
Final · MCI 1–0 MUN ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Manchester City 52% to win, Manchester United 25%, with a 23% chance of a draw. Projected score: Manchester City 2.1, Manchester United 1.4. The single most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% of simulations). Final score: Manchester City 1, Manchester United 0.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Manchester City the more likely winner at 52%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The game finished Manchester City 1, Manchester United 0.
AccuScore's simulation gives Manchester United a 25% chance of beating Manchester City, with 52% for Manchester City and 23% for a draw. It finished Manchester United 0, Manchester City 1.
AccuScore projects Manchester City 2.1, Manchester United 1.4, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline.