Brighton & Hove Albion
3
Chelsea
4
Win Probability
Moneyline
BRI
+310
10.1% win prob
EV -29.3%
Unibet
Draw
Draw
+285
17% prob
EV -18.2%
Pinnacle
Moneyline
CHE
-106
73.4% win prob
EV +21.3%
Pinnacle
Projected score
1.0 – 2.8
| Book | BRI | EV | Draw | EV | CHE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +283 | -30.7% | +285 | -18.2% | -106 | +21.3% |
| Unibet ↗ | +310 | -29.3% | — | — | -118 | +17.8% |
| bet365 ↗ | +300 | -29.8% | — | — | -120 | +17.3% |
| William Hill ↗ | +270 | -31.3% | +270 | -19.5% | -110 | +20.1% |
| SBOBET ↗ | +266 | -31.5% | +238 | -22.1% | -127 | +15.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3.5 | +159 | +17.1% | — | — |
| Unibet ↗ | 3 | +107 | +13.9% | — | — |
| Betfair ↗ | 4.5 | +350 | +23.0% | -556 | -10.1% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | +150 | +14.8% | -189 | -13.2% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3 | -106 | +10.7% | -135 | -15.7% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Emiliano MartínezG | 90 | — | — | 40(15) | 4 | 7.9 |
| 5 | Maxence LacroixD | 90 | — | — | 19(15) | — | 6.2 |
| 6 | Levi ColwillD | 72 | — | — | 18(11) | — | 6.3 |
| 3 | Wesley FofanaD | 68 | — | — | 14(14) | — | 6.3 |
| 27 | Malo GustoM | 90 | — | — | 11(6) | — | 6.2 |
| 21 | Jorrel HatoM | 90 | — | 1 | 12(9) | — | 7.2 |
| 7 | Pedro NetoM | 68 | 1 | — | 11(9) | — | 8.5 |
| 45 | Roméo LaviaM | 68 | 1 | — | 15(13) | — | 7.5 |
| 10 | Cole PalmerF | 90 | 1 | — | 20(13) | — | 7.9 |
| 17 | Morgan RogersF | 90 | — | 1 | 16(13) | — | 8.3 |
| 9 | João PedroF | 90 | 1 | 1 | 25(16) | — | 7.6 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 39 | Mike PendersG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 34 | Josh AcheampongD sub | 22 | — | — | 5(3) | — | 6.2 |
| 24 | Reece JamesD sub | 22 | — | — | 6(4) | — | 6.3 |
| 29 | Pep ChavarríaD sub | 18 | — | — | 4(4) | — | 6.5 |
| 25 | Moisés CaicedoM sub | 14 | — | — | 2(2) | — | 6.7 |
| 4 | Valentín BarcoM sub | 8 | — | — | — | — | 6.3 |
| 41 | EstêvãoF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | Jamie GittensF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Danny WelbeckF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
EPL
Final · BRI 3–4 CHE ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Chelsea 73% to win, Brighton & Hove Albion 10%, with a 17% chance of a draw. Projected score: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.0, Chelsea 2.8. The single most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% of simulations). Final score: Brighton & Hove Albion 3, Chelsea 4.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chelsea the more likely winner at 73%, with a 17% chance of a draw. The game finished Brighton & Hove Albion 3, Chelsea 4.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chelsea a 73% chance of beating Brighton & Hove Albion, with 10% for Brighton & Hove Albion and 17% for a draw. It finished Chelsea 4, Brighton & Hove Albion 3.
AccuScore projects Brighton & Hove Albion 1.0, Chelsea 2.8, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline.