New England Revolution
2
Chicago Fire
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
NE
+250
22.5% win prob
EV -10.6%
bet365
Draw
Draw
+290
28% prob
EV +3.8%
bet365
Moneyline
CHI
-105
49.9% win prob
EV -1.3%
bet365
Projected score
1.0 – 1.6
| Book | NE | EV | Draw | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 ↗ | +250 | -10.6% | +290 | +3.8% | -105 | -1.3% |
| William Hill ↗ | +225 | -13.4% | +270 | +1.1% | -105 | -1.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | +230 | -12.9% | — | — | -106 | -1.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3.25 | -104 | — | -108 | — |
| Betfair ↗ | 3.5 | +115 | -21.6% | -149 | +11.5% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | +110 | -22.3% | -149 | +11.5% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3.75 | +128 | — | -185 | — |
| Marathon ↗ | 3.25 | -116 | — | -120 | — |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris BradyG | 90 | — | — | 19(18) | — | 6.7 |
| 3 | Jack ElliottD | 90 | — | — | 75(69) | — | 6.3 |
| 32 | Noah AllenD | 90 | — | — | 58(49) | — | 5.9 |
| 24 | Jonathan DeanD | 55 | — | — | 24(21) | — | 5.9 |
| 5 | Samuel RogersD | 45 | — | — | 33(31) | — | 6.3 |
| 35 | Sergio OregelM | 90 | — | — | 69(64) | — | 7.5 |
| 42 | Dje Tah D'AvillaM | 90 | — | — | 67(62) | — | 7.5 |
| 11 | Philip ZinckernagelM | 90 | — | — | 33(24) | — | 8 |
| 18 | Johan GomezM | 55 | — | — | 25(20) | — | 6.7 |
| 12 | Puso DithejaneM | 55 | — | — | 12(8) | — | 6.3 |
| 9 | Robert LewandowskiF | 90 | — | — | 15(13) | — | 6.9 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 44 | Josh CohenG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 15 | Andrew GutmanD sub | 45 | — | — | 24(18) | — | 6.5 |
| 2 | Leonardo BarrosoD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | Mauricio PinedaD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 17 | Robin LodM sub | 35 | — | 1 | 20(15) | — | 6.9 |
| 7 | Maren Haile-SelassieM sub | 35 | 1 | — | 25(23) | — | 7.9 |
| 37 | Robert TurdeanM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | David PorebaM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 19 | Jonathan BambaF sub | 35 | — | — | 28(27) | — | 7.2 |
MLS
Final · NE 2–1 CHI ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Fire 50% to win, New England Revolution 23%, with a 28% chance of a draw. Projected score: New England Revolution 1.0, Chicago Fire 1.6. The single most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% of simulations). Final score: New England Revolution 2, Chicago Fire 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Fire the more likely winner at 50%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The game finished New England Revolution 2, Chicago Fire 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Fire a 50% chance of beating New England Revolution, with 23% for New England Revolution and 28% for a draw. It finished Chicago Fire 1, New England Revolution 2.
AccuScore projects New England Revolution 1.0, Chicago Fire 1.6, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.