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← Today's Edges
MLS•FINALSilver Edge
RBNY

New York Red Bulls

0

:
LAFC

Los Angeles FC

2

Win Probability

Moneyline

RBNY

+540

7.1% win prob

EV -27.3%

10Bet

Draw

Draw

+415

15% prob

EV -10.9%

Marathon

Moneyline

LAFC

-250

77.7% win prob

EV +4.4%

Marathon

Projected score

0.9 – 3.0

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 3.5
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
54.4%
EV +1.7%
-11110Bet ↗
Under Cover
45.6%
EV -6.7%
-11110Bet ↗

Odds Comparison

Away / Draw / Home

BookRBNYEVDrawEVLAFCEV
Betfair ↗+500-28.7%——-278+2.8%
William Hill ↗+500-28.7%+400-12.0%-278+2.8%
Marathon ↗+510-28.3%+415-10.9%-250+4.4%
SBOBET ↗+480-29.4%+403-11.8%-278+2.8%
10Bet ↗+540-27.3%+410-11.2%-256+4.0%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗3.5-114+1.1%+102-4.0%
Unibet ↗3.5-128-1.5%——
BetVictor ↗3.75-104—-139—
Marathon ↗3.5-120-0.1%-106-5.7%
888sport ↗3.5-125-1.0%-110-6.5%
LAFC 4-1-4-1Lineup4-3-3 RBNY
HorvathNealisCheBazánPadelfordSofoMehmetiForsbergCowellChoupo-Mo…NelichLlorisHollingsh…LongTafariNielsenChoinièreShaffelbu…TerryCheberkoBouangaHeung-min
LAFCRBNY

Match Events

90
⚽
Armindo Sieb(ass. Ryan Hollingshead)
LAFC
87
🟨
Ryan Raposo
LAFC
52
🟨
Julián Bazán
RBNY
42
🟨
Kenny Nielsen
LAFC
21
⚽
Jude Terry
LAFC
18
🟨
Dylan Nealis
RBNY

Match Statistics

LAFCPossessionRBNY
43%
57%
15
Shots
8
8
On Target
1
9
Corners
3
11
Fouls
13
2
Offsides
1
1
Saves
6
1.44
xG
0.43
478 (412)
Passes
642 (582)
4-1-4-1
Formation
4-3-3

Player Stats

LAFC

#PlayerMinGAPssSvRat
1Hugo LlorisG90——28(23)17.2
24Ryan HollingsheadD90—148(42)—7.3
33Aaron LongD90——50(45)—7
91Nkosi TafariD90——58(51)—7.2
45Kenny NielsenD75——36(33)—7.3
66Mathieu ChoinièreM90——72(64)—8.3
23Yevhen CheberkoM90——53(48)—7.9
99Denis BouangaM89——34(25)—6.9
18Jacob ShaffelburgM61——11(8)—7.2
22Jude TerryM611—32(27)—7.2
7Son Heung-minF90——20(15)—7
Substitutes
31Cabral CarterG sub——————
14Sergi PalenciaD sub——————
44Christian DiazD sub——————
6Igor JesusM sub29——23(19)—6.6
21Ryan RaposoM sub15——7(7)—6.7
9Armindo SiebF sub291—6(5)—7.9
19Tyler BoydF sub1—————
17Jeremy EbobisseF sub——————
90Tommy MihalicF sub——————

Goal Scorer Probabilities

Los Angeles FC

Denis Bouanga
84%
Jeremy Ebobisse
38%
Nathan Ordaz
21%
Mathieu Choiniere
15%
Ryan Michael Hollingshead
10%
Marco Delgado
9%

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall
34%
Emil Peter Forsberg
17%
Jorge Ruvalcaba
10%
Cade Cowell
8%
Adri Mehmeti
7%
Ronald Donkor
3%

Where to Bet

silver
LAFC ML+4.4% EV

Win probability: 77.7%

Marathon
-250Bet →
10Bet
-256Bet →
William Hill
-278Bet →
Betfair
-278Bet →
SBOBET
-278Bet →

MLS

New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles FC Prediction

Final · RBNY 0–2 LAFC · Wed, Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles FC 78% to win, New York Red Bulls 7%, with a 15% chance of a draw. Projected score: New York Red Bulls 0.9, Los Angeles FC 3.0. The single most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% of simulations). Final score: New York Red Bulls 0, Los Angeles FC 2.

Projection updated Sep 14, 3:55 PM ET

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles FC?

AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles FC the more likely winner at 78%, with a 15% chance of a draw. The game finished New York Red Bulls 0, Los Angeles FC 2.

Will Los Angeles FC beat New York Red Bulls?

AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles FC a 78% chance of beating New York Red Bulls, with 7% for New York Red Bulls and 15% for a draw. It finished Los Angeles FC 2, New York Red Bulls 0.

What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles FC?

AccuScore projects New York Red Bulls 0.9, Los Angeles FC 3.0, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline.

New York Red Bulls predictions & record →Los Angeles FC predictions & record →