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← Today's Edges
La Liga•FINALSilver Edge
ALA

Deportivo Alavés

1

:
RAY

Rayo Vallecano

1

Win Probability

Moneyline

ALA

+245

25.7% win prob

EV -5.7%

10Bet

Draw

Draw

+218

28% prob

EV -5.3%

1xBet

Moneyline

RAY

+156

46.2% win prob

EV +9.1%

1xBet

Projected score

1.0 – 1.4

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 2
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
43.8%
EV +1.8%
-130Marathon ↗
Under Cover
30.2%
EV -6.7%
+101Marathon ↗
Push 26.0% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Odds Comparison

Away / Draw / Home

BookALAEVDrawEVRAYEV
Pinnacle ↗+219-9.0%——+153+8.4%
Betfair ↗+210-10.2%+188-9.5%+138+5.0%
bet365 ↗+200-11.4%+210-6.4%+155+8.9%
William Hill ↗+200-11.4%——+150+7.8%
Marathon ↗+220-8.9%+208-6.7%+154+8.7%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗2-120+3.2%+110-5.3%
Unibet ↗2-122+2.9%-103-7.2%
Betfair ↗2.5+125-0.7%-175-5.9%
bet365 ↗1.5-227+0.3%+175-8.5%
BetVictor ↗2-141+0.4%-102-7.1%
RAY 4-1-4-1Lineup5-3-2 ALA
SiveraPérezTenagliaKoskiOttoRebbachIbáñezBlancoRodriguezBoyéMartínezBatallaRațiuLejeuneFernándezVertrouwdCissFrutosPalazónLópezPérezCamello
RAYALA

Match Events

90
🟨
Nicolás Valentini
ALA
84
⚽
Mariano Díaz
ALA
73
🟨
Sergio Camello
RAY
48
⚽
Sergio Camello(ass. Jorge de Frutos)
RAY
45
🟨
Nahuel Tenaglia
ALA

Match Statistics

RAYPossessionALA
49%
51%
8
Shots
15
3
On Target
3
9
Corners
7
14
Fouls
13
1
Offsides
0
2
Saves
2
0.42
xG
2.00
323 (255)
Passes
340 (273)
4-1-4-1
Formation
5-3-2

Player Stats

RAY

#PlayerMinGAPssSvRat
13Augusto BatallaG60——19(13)17.2
2Andrei RațiuD90——29(25)—6.5
24Florian LejeuneD90——49(41)—6.9
33Jozhua VertrouwdD90——29(24)—6.2
22Pelayo FernándezD55——22(18)—6.2
6Pathé Ismaël CissM90——35(30)—6.3
19Jorge de FrutosM90—116(11)—6.9
8Unai LópezM90——48(41)—7.2
21Fran PérezM55——8(7)—6.3
7Isi PalazónM17——6(4)—6.3
10Sergio CamelloF901—20(16)—7.6
Substitutes
1Dani CárdenasG sub30——10(2)16.9
20Iván BalliuD sub——————
27Sergio LozanoD sub——————
26Marco de las SiasD sub——————
34Ivan Alonso MartinD sub——————
11Randy NtekaM sub73——15(11)—6.9
23Óscar ValentínM sub35——9(8)—6.9
18Álvaro GarcíaM sub35——8(4)—6.2
4Pedro DíazM sub——————
14Giorgi TsitaishviliF sub——————
9AlemãoF sub——————

Goal Scorer Probabilities

Rayo Vallecano

Jorge de Frutos Sebastián
33%
Randy Nteka
21%
Álvaro García Rivera
17%
Isaac Palazón Camacho
16%
Florian Lejeune
16%
Pathe Ciss
9%

Deportivo Alavés

Lucas Ariel Boyé
28%
Antonio Martínez López
27%
Abderrahman Rebbach
8%
Antonio Blanco
8%
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
7%
Nahuel Tenaglia
4%

Where to Bet

silver
RAY ML+9.1% EV

Win probability: 46.2%

1xBet
+156Bet →
bet365
+155Bet →
Marathon
+154Bet →
Pinnacle
+153Bet →
William Hill
+150Bet →

La Liga

Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Final · ALA 1–1 RAY · Thu, Aug 20, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Rayo Vallecano 46% to win, Deportivo Alavés 26%, with a 28% chance of a draw. Projected score: Deportivo Alavés 1.0, Rayo Vallecano 1.4. The single most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% of simulations). Final score: Deportivo Alavés 1, Rayo Vallecano 1.

Projection updated Aug 21, 3:55 AM ET

Who will win Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano?

AccuScore's simulation makes Rayo Vallecano the more likely winner at 46%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The game finished Deportivo Alavés 1, Rayo Vallecano 1.

Will Rayo Vallecano beat Deportivo Alavés?

AccuScore's simulation gives Rayo Vallecano a 46% chance of beating Deportivo Alavés, with 26% for Deportivo Alavés and 28% for a draw. It finished Rayo Vallecano 1, Deportivo Alavés 1.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano?

AccuScore projects Deportivo Alavés 1.0, Rayo Vallecano 1.4, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.

Deportivo Alavés predictions & record →Rayo Vallecano predictions & record →