Aston Villa
0
Brighton & Hove Albion
4
Win Probability
Moneyline
AVL
+260
27.2% win prob
EV -1.0%
Betfair
Draw
Draw
+250
28% prob
EV -1.2%
bet365
Moneyline
BRI
+150
44.9% win prob
EV +6.1%
10Bet
Projected score
1.2 – 1.6
| Book | AVL | EV | Draw | EV | BRI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet ↗ | +245 | -3.1% | +250 | -1.2% | +112 | -2.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | +260 | -1.0% | +230 | -4.0% | +105 | -4.0% |
| bet365 ↗ | +230 | -5.1% | +250 | -1.2% | +110 | -2.9% |
| William Hill ↗ | +240 | -3.8% | — | — | +110 | -2.9% |
| Betano ↗ | +245 | -3.1% | — | — | +112 | -2.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | +182 | +4.6% | -208 | -4.1% |
| Unibet ↗ | 2.75 | +107 | — | -135 | — |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -125 | -2.3% | +100 | -3.1% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3 | +156 | +0.6% | -233 | -5.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | 3.75 | +294 | — | -526 | — |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bart VerbruggenG | 90 | — | — | 34(34) | — | 6.9 |
| 44 | Luka VuškovićD | 90 | — | — | 103(98) | — | 7.9 |
| 5 | Lewis DunkD | 90 | — | — | 114(109) | — | 7.6 |
| 21 | Olivier BoscagliD | 90 | — | — | 66(65) | — | 7.6 |
| 27 | Mats WiefferD | 78 | — | — | 60(55) | — | 7.3 |
| 13 | Pascal GroßM | 90 | — | — | 77(72) | — | 7.2 |
| 25 | Diego GómezM | 86 | — | 1 | 33(27) | — | 8.2 |
| 29 | Maxim De CuyperM | 78 | 1 | — | 41(37) | — | 8.3 |
| 26 | Yasin AyariM | 64 | — | — | 40(36) | — | 6.2 |
| 8 | Jack HinshelwoodM | 64 | 2 | — | 14(13) | — | 9 |
| 10 | Georginio RutterF | 90 | — | 1 | 12(7) | — | 7.7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 23 | Jason SteeleG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | CostinhaD sub | 26 | — | — | 17(17) | — | 6.7 |
| 4 | Pascal StruijkD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 30 | Michael SvobodaD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 35 | Malick YalcouyéM sub | 9 | — | — | 15(15) | — | 6.7 |
| 19 | Charalampos KostoulasF sub | 26 | — | — | 6(3) | — | 6.5 |
| 15 | Ibrahim OsmanF sub | 12 | — | — | 10(8) | — | 6.3 |
| 36 | Zadok YohannaF sub | 12 | — | — | 5(5) | — | 6.7 |
| 12 | Promise DavidF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 44.9%
EPL
Final · AVL 0–4 BRI ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Brighton & Hove Albion 45% to win, Aston Villa 27%, with a 28% chance of a draw. Projected score: Aston Villa 1.2, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.6. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% of simulations). Final score: Aston Villa 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 4.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Brighton & Hove Albion the more likely winner at 45%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The game finished Aston Villa 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 4.
AccuScore's simulation gives Brighton & Hove Albion a 45% chance of beating Aston Villa, with 27% for Aston Villa and 28% for a draw. It finished Brighton & Hove Albion 4, Aston Villa 0.
AccuScore projects Aston Villa 1.2, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.6, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.