Spain
2
Belgium
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
ESP
-154
60.2% win prob
EV -0.4%
Unibet
Draw
Draw
+305
26% prob
EV +2.0%
Marathon
Moneyline
BEL
+496
14.1% win prob
EV -8.0%
1xBet
Projected score
1.8 – 0.8
| Book | ESP | EV | Draw | EV | BEL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet ↗ | -154 | -0.4% | +285 | -0.5% | +440 | -11.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | -161 | -1.2% | +290 | +0.1% | +450 | -11.2% |
| Marathon ↗ | -167 | -1.9% | +305 | +2.0% | +470 | -9.8% |
| 1xBet ↗ | -154 | -0.4% | +287 | -0.3% | +496 | -8.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2.75 | -103 | — | -103 | — |
| Unibet ↗ | 2.5 | -141 | -9.7% | +110 | +5.5% |
| Betfair ↗ | 5.5 | +1000 | -24.6% | +1000 | +474.6% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -137 | -9.2% | +110 | +5.5% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3.25 | +134 | — | +134 | — |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thibaut CourtoisG | 71 | — | — | 29(22) | 4 | 7.9 |
| 21 | Timothy CastagneD | 90 | — | 1 | 26(18) | — | 6.6 |
| 25 | Nathan NgoyD | 90 | — | — | 40(38) | — | 7.2 |
| 4 | Brandon MecheleD | 90 | — | — | 36(33) | — | 6.9 |
| 5 | Maxim De CuyperD | 61 | — | — | 21(16) | — | 6.3 |
| 23 | Nicolas RaskinM | 90 | — | — | 39(31) | — | 6.7 |
| 11 | Jérémy DokuM | 90 | — | — | 19(15) | — | 6.7 |
| 7 | Kevin De BruyneM | 86 | — | — | 24(19) | — | 6.6 |
| 20 | Hans VanakenM | 60 | — | — | 16(12) | — | 6.3 |
| 10 | Leandro TrossardM | 60 | — | — | 12(12) | — | 6.3 |
| 17 | Charles De KetelaereF | 90 | 1 | — | 20(10) | — | 7.5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 12 | Senne LammensG sub | 19 | — | — | 13(7) | 2 | 6.2 |
| 13 | Mike PendersG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Joaquin SeysD sub | 29 | — | — | 7(5) | — | 6.5 |
| 3 | Arthur TheateD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 15 | Thomas MeunierD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 16 | Koni De WinterD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Axel WitselM sub | 30 | — | — | 5(4) | — | 6.5 |
| 9 | Romelu LukakuF sub | 30 | — | — | 4(1) | — | 6.2 |
| 22 | Alexis SaelemaekersF sub | 12 | — | — | 3(1) | — | 6.7 |
| 19 | Diego MoreiraF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14 | Dodi LukebakioF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 26 | Matías Fernández-PardoF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 25.7%
World Cup
Final · ESP 2–1 BEL ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Spain 60% to win, Belgium 14%, with a 26% chance of a draw. Projected score: Spain 1.8, Belgium 0.8. The single most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% of simulations). Final score: Spain 2, Belgium 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Spain the more likely winner at 60%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The game finished Spain 2, Belgium 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives Belgium a 14% chance of beating Spain, with 60% for Spain and 26% for a draw. It finished Belgium 1, Spain 2.
AccuScore projects Spain 1.8, Belgium 0.8, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.