Portugal
0
Spain
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
POR
+290
19.8% win prob
EV -11.4%
bet365
Draw
Draw
+258
25% prob
EV -4.5%
1xBet
Moneyline
ESP
+106
54.8% win prob
EV +6.4%
1xBet
Projected score
1.0 – 1.8
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -125 | -1.8% | +100 | -3.5% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3 | +115 | -5.3% | -167 | -1.7% |
| 1xBet ↗ | 2.5 | -128 | -2.3% | +110 | -1.2% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Unai SimónG | 90 | — | — | 31(21) | 2 | 7.3 |
| 12 | Pedro PorroD | 90 | — | — | 37(33) | — | 7.2 |
| 22 | Pau CubarsíD | 90 | — | — | 77(71) | — | 6.9 |
| 14 | Aymeric LaporteD | 90 | — | — | 40(37) | — | 6.7 |
| 24 | Marc CucurellaD | 90 | — | — | 39(36) | — | 6.3 |
| 16 | RodriM | 90 | — | — | 92(86) | — | 7.5 |
| 19 | Lamine YamalM | 90 | — | — | 32(25) | — | 7.3 |
| 20 | PedriM | 85 | — | — | 60(55) | — | 6.3 |
| 10 | Dani OlmoM | 85 | — | — | 41(35) | — | 6.9 |
| 15 | Alex BaenaM | 75 | — | — | 35(28) | — | 6.6 |
| 21 | Mikel OyarzabalF | 89 | — | — | 22(21) | — | 6.2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 1 | David RayaG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 13 | Joan GarcíaG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Eric GarcíaD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Marc PubillD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Alejandro GrimaldoD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | Fabián RuizM sub | 14 | — | — | 7(6) | — | 6.7 |
| 6 | Mikel MerinoM sub | 14 | 1 | — | 4(4) | — | 7.6 |
| 5 | Marcos LlorenteM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Martín ZubimendiM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | Pablo GaviM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | Yéremy PinoM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7 | Ferran TorresF sub | 15 | — | 1 | 13(9) | — | 6.2 |
| 26 | Borja IglesiasF sub | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 17 | Nico WilliamsF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 25 | Víctor MuñozF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
World Cup
Final · POR 0–1 ESP ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Spain 55% to win, Portugal 20%, with a 25% chance of a draw. Projected score: Portugal 1.0, Spain 1.8. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% of simulations). Final score: Portugal 0, Spain 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Spain the more likely winner at 55%, with a 25% chance of a draw. The game finished Portugal 0, Spain 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives Spain a 55% chance of beating Portugal, with 20% for Portugal and 25% for a draw. It finished Spain 1, Portugal 0.
AccuScore projects Portugal 1.0, Spain 1.8, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.